Steve Pearce

Iowa and Kansas and Pennsylvania, Oh My  — Split Midterm Decision Likely I Spy
No predictions for the 2018 outcome, but expectations? Sure we got ’em

Texas Democrat Beto O’Rourke has run a tough race against Republican Sen. Ted Cruz, but it would be a major upset if he won. Such electoral dynamics make it hard for Democrats to take the majority in the Senate next week. In the House, though, they are favored to win the majority, Rothenberg writes. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

ANALYSIS — Predictions? Not from me. But I do have expectations as Election Day approaches, and I am happy to share them.

I expect Republicans to hold on to their Senate majority, quite possibly even adding a seat or two.

Remembering Tim Johnson: Congressional Baseball Game Was the ‘Love of His Life’
Former Oxley staffer died at 59 years old

Rep. Joe Barton, R-Texas, center, sets the lineup during a scrimmage between Republican team members in 2016 with Rep. Mike Bishop, R-Mich., right, and coach Tim Johnson, left. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Former staffer and Congressional Baseball Game staple Tim Johnson died Sunday after a decade-long battle with multiple myeloma.

He died at his sister’s house in Leola, Pennsylvania, at 59 years old. He had just celebrated his birthday Oct. 3.

Ocelots, Butterflies in Path of Border Wall
As DHS waives its way across Texas, Congress is rethinking a thirteen-year-old law

Barriers at the southern border hem in more than people, environmentalists say. Wildcats, tortoises and other animals can get trapped. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images file photo)

When rains pushed the Rio Grande River to flood stage in 2010, an existing border wall acted as a flood barrier, protecting some lowlands but also trapping some animals. A 2011 U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service report obtained through a Freedom of Information Act request by the Sierra Club noted the discovery after the flooding of shells from “hundreds” of Texas tortoise, which that state lists as a threatened species.

“Animals caught between the river and the flood wall that could not escape around the edges of the floodwalls likely perished,” said the report. Endangered species like the ocelot and jaguarundi, both small wildcats, also might have died, according to the report.

Lujan Grisham and Pearce Will Face Off in N.M. Governor’s Race
Lujan Grisham easily wins Democratic nomination; Pearce ran unopposed

Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham, D-N.M., won the Democratic nomination for the state's governor's race. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

New Mexico’s governor’s race will have two members of Congress competing against each other after Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham won the Democratic gubernatorial primary Tuesday.

With nearly all the vote counted, Lujan Grisham was projected to win the three-way Democratic primary on Tuesday with 66 percent of the vote, according to The Associated Press.

Torres Small, Herrell to Battle for New Mexico Open Seat
Democrats are targeting the 2nd District as a potential pickup opportunity

Xochitl Torres Small earned the Democratic nod in New Mexico’s 2nd District. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

New Mexico Republicans and Democrats chose female candidates Tuesday night for what could be a competitive race for the 2nd District. GOP incumbent Rep. Steve Pearce vacated the seat to run for governor, and Democrats eye it as a potential pickup opportunity.

Lawyer Xochitl Torres Small won the Democratic nod, and state Rep. Yvette Herrell is the GOP pick in the district, which covers the southern half of the state. 

Rating Changes in 19 House Races, All Toward Democrats
In total, 68 GOP-held seats are now rated competitive

New Mexico Democrat Xochitl Torres Small is running for the seat GOP Rep. Steve Pearce is vacating to run for governor. The 2nd District race is now rated Leans Republican. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Despite forecasts of a blue tsunami, it’s still not guaranteed that Democrats will win back the House majority. But the playing field of competitive House races is expanding and shifting to almost exclusively Republican territory.

After the latest round of changes, Inside Elections now has 68 Republican seats rated as vulnerable compared to just 10 vulnerable Democratic seats. And there are at least a couple dozen more GOP-held seats that could develop into competitive races in the months ahead.

Nine House Members Pushing for Gubernatorial Promotion
But for many, the road to the governor’s mansion won’t be easy

Of all the House members running for governor this year, Hawaii Rep. Colleen Hanabusa may have the best shot. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Just seven of the 50 current governors have previously served in the House, and only five of those were elected directly from the House without holding a statewide office or another job in the interim period. But a handful of lawmakers are hoping to buck the trend and push that total number closer to double digits.

Many of them have to navigate competitive primaries first, and the precedent for members getting elected governor isn’t great. But while most of them are leaving behind safe seats, there’s an upside: becoming their state’s top elected official and departing from an unpopular Congress.

Ryan Won’t Run for Re-Election, Ready to Go Home to Family
Democrats say speaker’s retirement is a sign of things to come in November

Speaker Paul D. Ryan, D-Wis., arrives for his news conference on Wednesday to announce his retirement at the end of his current term. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Speaker Paul D. Ryan announced Wednesday he will not run for re-election and will leave Congress at the end of his term.

“This has been one of the two greatest honors of my life,” the speaker said. The other, he said, is his role as a husband and father, which he cited as his reason for leaving.

Hispanic Caucus’ Political Arm Endorses Seven More Candidates
Six non-Hispanic Democrats among BOLD PAC’s latest endorsees

Democrat Xochitl Torres Small is running in New Mexico’s 2nd District. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

The political arm of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus has endorsed seven more Democratic candidates, most of whom are not Hispanic. 

BOLD PAC announced Wednesday it was backing Xochitl Torres Small for New Mexico’s 2nd District seat, which Republican Steve Pearce is vacating to run for governor. The other six candidates the group is backing are not Hispanic. BOLD PAC endorsed non-Hispanic candidates in the 2016 cycle as well.

Maybe They’re Too Rich for Congress?
Seventeen members departing the Capitol are millionaires

California Rep. Darrell Issa is not running for a 10th term this year. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

The wealthy are heading for the exits.

So far, 44 current lawmakers, or one in 12, have announced they are retiring at the end of the year or seeking new offices away from the Capitol. And collectively, they now account for nearly a third of the $2.43 billion in cumulative riches of the 115th Congress.