open seats

Rating Change: California House Seat Not So Safe for Democrats
Millennial Republican making his move in retiring Rep. Lois Capps’ open seat

Justin Fareed represents a rare opportunity for Republicans to win a Democratic House seat in California. (Meredith Dake/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Any time there is a discussion about Republicans taking over a House seat in California, I’m skeptical. That’s a reasonable reaction considering Republicans haven’t taken over a Democratic seat in the Golden State since Bill Clinton was president. But that streak could end this year.

Even though Donald Trump is complicating GOP efforts in House and Senate races across the country, Republicans have two takeover opportunities in California.

Open Minnesota House Seat Takeover Opportunity for Democrats
Lackluster candidates in moderate district could be one of first GOP House seats to change hands

The retirement of Rep. John Kline, R-Minn., shown hugging Janna Ryan after Rep. Paul Ryan was sworn in as House Speaker last year, makes his seat a big target for Democrats. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Republican Rep. John Kline is retiring  from his competitive, suburban district in Minnesota and expressed concern over the lack of quality GOP candidates to replace him. Those concerns are becoming reality as the seat continues to develop into a prime Democratic takeover opportunity.  

In 2014, Kline was re-elected by 17 points, but his margin of victory made the 2nd District look less competitive than reality, considering President Barack Obama won the district twice, albeit narrowly.