Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales

Confessions of an Elections Analyst
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales — an authoritative look at where things stand for 2018

Nathan L. Gonzales knows exactly what’s going to happen on Election Day. Sort of. Maybe. Kinda. Maybe not.

After nearly two years of analyzing data and polling trends from hundreds of races, Roll Call’s elections analyst thinks he has a pretty good sense of where things could go on November 6th and beyond, but after the 2016 election it’s impossible to rule anything out.

25 Race Ratings Changes Less Than a Week Before Midterms
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales — an authoritative look at where things stand for 2018

After two years of analyzing and prognosticating, it's finally almost here: Nov. 6, Election Day. Roll Call elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales takes you through where the House and Senate battlegrounds have landed with a video debrief on the most recent ratings changes, listed in full here: 

House

12 Ratings Changes for House, Senate and Gubernatorial Races: 4 Toward GOP, 8 Toward Democrats
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales — an authoritative look at where things stand for 2018

With so many close races in the ever-changing 2018 landscape, Roll Call elections analyst Nathan Gonzales has one big question: how long after Election Day will the nation have to wait before knowing which party will control Congress? Watch the video for Gonzales’ analysis, plus a debrief on a handful of ratings changes less than three weeks out, which are listed in full below.

Senate

24 House Ratings Change in Favor of Democrats, One Month Out
 

12 House Ratings Changes: Democrats Are More Likely Than Not to Win Majority
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales — an authoritative look at where things stand for 2018

Roll Call elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales has a dozen updates to his House ratings, all in favor of Democrats. Watch the video for more on Republicans' efforts this September to discredit Democrats in key races as the midterm election is now just seven weeks away.

House Ratings Change in Favor of Democrats
 

No More Blue Wave Metaphors: 2018 Is About Too Many GOP Fires
 

How the Midterms Might Affect the Congressional Baseball Lineup
 

Roll Call elections analyst Nathan L. Gonzales likes his day job covering politics, but he loves when he can combine that with his baseball hobby. With the annual Congressional Baseball Game coming up June 14, Gonzales takes a look at how a wave of retirements and competitive races in November could affect both the Democratic and GOP rosters going forward.

Below is a transcript of the video.

Ready for the Midterms? Reactions to 3 Campaign Ads From Roll Call’s Editors
 

Which House Races Are the Parties Targeting? Look to the Money, the TV Ad Money
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, an authoritative look at where things stand for 2018

While both parties may talk a big game in terms of their targeted House races, our Roll Call elections analyst has one thing to say: Show me the money. Gonzales breaks down the various campaign groups that are making pricey ad reservations in some media markets and not others, which can provide insight about the seats the parties really see as most flippable.

Below is a transcript of the video.