nathan-l-gonzales

Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night
Close races, voting schemes and mail-in ballots could all complicate calling control of Congress on Nov. 6

The race for Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith’s Mississippi seat lists among the complicating factors that might impede calling control of the Senate on Nov. 6, Gonzales writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

After two years of campaigning in the latest most consequential election of our lifetimes, election night could be a huge letdown. The disappointment is not about which party prevails Nov. 6, but the reality that a combination of close races and West Coast contests could prevent enough races from being called to determine majorities in Congress until days later.

In the Senate, more than 10 races could finish within single digits, and a handful of those contests look like they’re neck and neck. The close margins could make it difficult for media outlets to project a winner on election night. Since Republicans have just a two-seat majority, every Senate race matters, so anything left uncalled could make it difficult to figure out who will control the chamber next year.

Wisconsin Democrat Randy Bryce Snubbed by Brother in New Ad
Paul Ryan-aligned super PAC put out the ad in speaker’s home district

James Bryce, the brother of Wisconsin Democratic congressional candidate Randy Bryce, endorsed his brother’s opponent, Bryan Steil, a former aide to Speaker Paul D. Ryan, R-Wis. (CLFSuperPAC/YouTube)

Strangers from around the country have poured millions of dollars into Democratic congressional candidate Randy Bryce’s campaign after his video announcing a grass-roots bid against Speaker Paul D. Ryan in Wisconsin’s 1st District went viral.

But the “Iron Stache,” as he has been nicknamed on the web, has not managed to secure the support of someone much closer to home: his brother.

Scary Moment for Rep. Chris Stewart at Debate
‘Vaccines cause autism!’ man shouts into Utah rep’s microphone

Utah's 2nd District candidates for Congress Shireen Ghorbani and U.S. Rep. Chris Stewart participate in a debate on Monday in St. George, Utah. (Chris Caldwell/The Spectrum via AP, Pool)

Police arrested a man Monday after he walked onstage and interrupted GOP Rep. Chris Stewart of Utah at a debate with Democratic opponent Shireen Ghorbani.

Law enforcement arrested Corbin Cox McMillen and charged him with disorderly conduct and interrupting a political meeting, a Class B misdemeanor, for leaning into Stewart’s microphone during his closing statement and loudly stating a conspiracy theory about a connection between vaccines and autism, according to KUTV in Utah.

Audio Raises Questions About Coordination Between Rosendale, NRA
Gun rights group told Montana GOP Senate candidate about plans for ad buy against Tester

Matt Rosendale, Montana state auditor and Republican candidate for Senate, knew the NRA was going to spend on airtime for advertisements against his opponent, Sen. Jon Tester. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Montana GOP Senate candidate Matt Rosendale knew in advance the National Rifle Association was poised to drop big bucks on an advertising purchase against his opponent this November.

Chris Cox, the NRA’s chief political strategist for its legislative campaign political action committee, told Rosendale the group would be “in this race,” according to audio from a July event in Washington, D.C., reported by the Daily Beast.

Virginia Supreme Court Keeps Third Candidate out of Scott Taylor Race
Four Taylor campaign staffers accused of forging signatures to get independent on November ballot

Rep. Scott Taylor, R-Va., will face Democrat Elaine Luria in a head-to-head matchup for Virginia's 2nd District seat. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Virginia's 2nd District ballot will feature just two names this November: Scott Taylor and Elaine Luria. The state elections board is printing them today, and that’s final.

The Virginia Supreme Court ruled Wednesday to dismiss independent candidate Shaun Brown’s appeal that her name remain on the ballot, putting a nail in the coffin of a bizarre scandal in which four staffers for Taylor, the Republican incumbent, allegedly forged dozens of signatures on ballot petition sheets for Brown to include her in the election.

Willie Nelson to Headline Rally for Texas Senate Candidate Beto O’Rourke
It will be 85-year-old country music legend's first-ever performance at a free, rally-style event for a political candidate

Texas Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke plays with country music legend Willie Nelson at a concert in July. (From @BetoORourke)

Willie Nelson may be getting up there in years, but there’s always time for firsts.

And for the first time ever, the 85-year-old country music star will take the stage to perform on behalf of a political candidate at a free-admission campaign rally.

Dem Rep. Cuellar Asks Supporters to Donate to Vulnerable Republican
GOP Rep. John Carter is facing a tough challenger from Democrat M.J. Hegar in Texas’ 31st District

Rep. Henry Cuellar, D-Texas, raised eyebrows for attending a fundraiser breakfast for vulnerable Rep. John Carter, R-Texas, and asking his supporters to contribute to Carter’s re-election campaign. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar of Texas invited his supporters to attend a fundraising breakfast for neighboring Texas Rep. John Carter on Tuesday.

The hook: Carter is a Republican in what experts expect to be one of the closest congressional races in the state.

California Man Curses Trump, Tries to Stab GOP House Candidate
Swalwell’s challenger Rudy Peters threatened with switchblade at local festival

Farzad Fazelli, 35, of Castro Valley, California, was arrested Sunday for trying to stab GOP congressional candidate Rudy Peters. (Photo courtesy Alameda County Sheriff's Office)

A Northern California man pulled a switchblade on GOP congressional candidate Rudy Peters and tried to stab him after shouting swear words about President Donald Trump on Sunday at a local town festival, authorities and the candidate said.

Sheriff’s deputies arrested Farzad Vincent Fazeli, 35, of Castro Valley, and have charged him with felony counts of assault and making threats and misdemeanor counts of brandishing a weapon and possessing a switchblade, the San Francisco Chronicle reported.

GOP Rep. Roskam Accuses Democratic Opponent of ‘Channeling’ Trump
Democrat Sean Casten using ‘politics of ridicule’ in race against vulnerable Illinois Republican

Rep. Peter Roskam, R-Ill., is in a Tossup race with Democrat Sean Casten, per Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

GOP Rep. Peter Roskam of Illinois criticized his Democratic opponent in the November midterm elections by likening the Democrat’s political strategy to that of ... President Donald Trump?

That’s right: Roskam has accused Chicago suburban businessman and Democratic nominee Sean Casten of “channeling” the GOP standard-bearer on Twitter with his “hyperbolic” attacks on Republicans in Congress and a comment he made that Trump and Osama bin Laden have “a tremendous amount in common,” the Chicago Tribune reported.

Postal Service Investigating Release of Brat Challenger’s Security Clearance Form
Virginia’s 7th District seat is expected to be a close contest between Brat and Democrat Abigail Spanberger

Former CIA officer and Virginia Democrat Abigail Spanberger accused Congressional Leadership Fund, the super PAC linked to Speaker Paul D. Ryan, of “trafficking in possibly illegally obtained documents” after it obtained her security clearance application through a Freedom of Information Act request. (Steve Helber/AP file photo)

The U.S. Postal Service inspector general has launched an investigation into the improper release of U.S. congressional candidate Abigail Spanberger’s full, unredacted official personnel file, including a highly confidential national security form known as Standard Form 86.

USPS public relations manager David Partenheimer previously said the USPS was looking into how America Rising, a conservative opposition research group, had obtained the Democratic candidate and former CIA officer’s SF-86, and was still conducting a review, but that the lapse occurred “because of human error” at the postal service.