nathan-l-gonzales

Podcast: A Supreme Campaign Issue
Roll Call Decoder, Episode 14

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., left, and Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh meet in McConnell's office in the Capitol on Tuesday, July 10, 2018, the day after President Donald Trump nominated Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. (Photo By Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call/POOL)

For six Democratic senators in rough fights for re-election in Trump states, the coming vote on Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court confirmation will be a career-defining moment that cuts both ways. Roll Call political analyst Nathan Gonzales and his Inside Elections colleague Leah Askarinam explain the dynamics of each campaign. 

Watch: Trump Nominates Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court

Hurd, Democratic Challenger on Pace to Shatter Fundraising Record
GOP rep, opponent Gina Ortiz Jones projected to run one of the most expensive races in Texas history

Rep. Will Hurd, R-Texas, and Gina Ortiz Jones, his Democratic opponent this fall, project to raise a record total in campaign cash. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Four months away from Election Day, the race for Texas’ 23rd District projects to be the most expensive congressional race in the state’s history.

Democratic challenger Gina Ortiz Jones more than doubled her cash on hand in the second fundraising quarter after reeling in $1.2 million in April, May and June, her campaign announced in a news release Monday.

Ratings Change: Two Top Senate Races Shift Out of Toss-Up
North Dakota Moves to Tilts Republican, West Virginia Moves to Tilts Democratic

North Dakota Sen. Heidi Heitkamp has seen her state shift further to the right since her narrow win in 2012, Gonzales writes. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

When it comes to political handicapping, the easiest thing to do would be to put all of the most competitive contests into the Toss-up category and declare them too close to call. Or to argue that because Donald Trump was elected president against the projections, it’s not worth rating any races at all.

But that’s not particularly helpful to people looking for some direction and distinctions in congressional elections.

Poll: Mia Love Holds Slim Lead Over Salt Lake County Mayor
Utah GOP congresswoman is seeking a third term

Rep. Mia Love, R-Utah, is locked in a tight race with Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams for Utah's 4th District seat. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Rep. Mia Love had a slight edge on her Democratic opponent for Utah's 4th District seat, Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams, in a new poll.

Registered voters in the district favored Love, a Republican seeking her third term, by 6 percentage points over McAdams, 45 percent to 39 percent, according to the Salt Lake Tribune-Hinckley Institute of Politics poll released Wednesday. Eight percent said they preferred someone else — even though no one else is on the ballot in November — and 8 percent remained undecided.

Kaine Up 18 Points on GOP Opponent Stewart in Virginia Senate Poll
Former Virginia governor and vice presidential candidate with comfortable lead in bid for second Senate term

Virginia Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine holds an 18-point lead on Republican Corey Stewart in the first poll in the state’s Senate race. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine holds an 18-point advantage on his Republican challenger in his race for a second term, according to the first poll in the state for the general election.

Kaine led GOP nominee Corey Stewart, 54 percent to 36 percent, in a survey conducted by Quinnipiac University from June 21 to June 25.

Nathan’s 10 One-Liners After Tuesday: Winter Has Come for Democrats
What’s running through my head the night of a stunning New York upset

New York Rep. Joseph Crowley’s defeat Tuesday shows Democrats are not immune to anti-establishment sentiment that Republicans have faced for years, Gonzales writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

There’s plenty to digest from Tuesday’s primaries in New York, Maryland, Utah and beyond, but here are a few initial thoughts encapsulated in some run-on sentences.

North Carolina Rep. Robert Pittenger’s primary loss last month wasn’t a surprise (considering his narrow win in 2016), and his fellow GOP Rep. Mark Sanford’s primary loss in South Carolina two weeks ago wasn’t stunning (considering his personal issues and reputation for opposing President Donald Trump).

Paul Ryan Backs Leah Vukmir Ahead of GOP Primary In Key Wisconsin Senate Race
State senator also picked up endorsement of longtime Wisconsin Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner

Speaker Paul D. Ryan, R-Wis. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Leah Vukmir has friends in all the right places.

Speaker Paul D. Ryan and Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner endorsed the longtime Wisconsin state senator Monday as she faces businessman and political newcomer Kevin Nicholson in the GOP primary for the chance to go head-to-head against Sen. Tammy Baldwin in the general election.

Elections, Retirements Could Ransack GOP Baseball Roster
Turnover in the Democratic lineup not expected to be as dramatic

Reps. Rodney Davis of Illinois and Ryan A. Costello of Pennsylvania confer during the 2016 Congressional Baseball Game. Costello is retiring this year while Davis faces a competitive re-election race. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

The cold reality of the midterm elections could force Republicans into a completely different roster for next year’s Congressional Baseball Game. Due to retirements and competitive re-election races, over a third of the 36-member GOP team may not be returning in 2019, including more than half of last year’s starting lineup.

Three of the Republicans’ first six batters from 2017 are playing in their last game because they aren’t seeking re-election, including leadoff hitter Ryan A. Costello of Pennsylvania.

Democrats’ Senate Majority PAC Sinks $80 Million Into 9 Key States
Ads will hit airwaves on Labor Day and continue to election night

Sen. Dean Heller, R-Nev., is facing one of the toughest paths to re-election in 2018. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

The Democratic Senate Majority PAC announced Monday it will sink $80 million for TV ads into nine states with battleground Senate races this fall in an initial wave of spending for the 2018 midterms.

SMP will air ads beginning on Labor Day and continuing to election night on Nov. 7 in races for three Republican-held seats in Nevada, Arizona and Tennessee, and six Democratically controlled seats in Indiana, Florida, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota and West Virginia.

Romney, Once the Face of ‘Never Trump,’ Embraces the President
Now running for Utah open Senate seat, former presidential nominee predicts Trump will win in 2020

Former Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney speaks at the 2013 Conservative Political Action Conference at the Gaylord National Resort Conference Center at National Harbor, Md., on Friday, March 15, 2013. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

By all indications, former Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney is now fully aboard the Trump train as he prepares for the GOP primary for an open Senate seat in Utah.

In 2016, Romney called President Donald Trump a “con man” and “a fake.” But at the opening remarks of his annual mountainside retreat for business leaders and politicos on Thursday, the former Massachusetts governor predicted Trump would “solidly” win a second term in 2020 after securing the GOP nomination, The Associated Press reported.