Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin Moves Up in Polling

(Tom Williams CQ/Roll Call File Phorto)

Two polls released Wednesday show Rep. Tammy Baldwin (D) has made progress in her race against former Gov. Tommy Thompson (R) for the state’s open Senate seat.

A Marquette University Law School poll released Wednesday showed Baldwin leading Thompson by a 9-point margin. Fifty percent of likely voters said they favored her, while 41 percent said they backed Thompson. It is a complete reversal from Marquette’s mid-August poll, which showed Thompson with a 9-point lead. Republicans contend that this latest Marquette poll oversamples Democrats.

Also new: a Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS poll that showed the Wisconsin Senate race to be much closer — a dead heat, in fact, at 47 percent each for Baldwin and Thompson. Compared with its own Aug. 23 poll, when Thompson had a 6 percent lead, this Quinnipiac poll is also an improvement for Baldwin.

The Quinnipiac poll had 1,485 likely voter respondents with a margin of error of 2.5 points. The survey was conducted Sept. 11-17.

The Marquette poll was a telephone survey Sept. 13-16. The margin of error was 3.8 points and 705 registered voters were surveyed. There were 601 “likely voters” and the margin of error in that group was 4.1 points.

Roll Call rates this race a Tossup.