Nathan’s 10 One-Liners After Tuesday: Winter Has Come for Democrats
What’s running through my head the night of a stunning New York upset
There’s plenty to digest from Tuesday’s primaries in New York, Maryland, Utah and beyond, but here are a few initial thoughts encapsulated in some run-on sentences.
North Carolina Rep. Robert Pittenger’s primary loss last month wasn’t a surprise (considering his narrow win in 2016), and his fellow GOP Rep. Mark Sanford’s primary loss in South Carolina two weeks ago wasn’t stunning (considering his personal issues and reputation for opposing President Donald Trump).
But New York Rep. Joseph Crowley’s loss to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in Tuesday’s 14th District Democratic primary is a downright shocker considering his longevity and the fact that he was eyeing a top leadership post in the next Congress.
It was remarkable to watch the NY1 debate earlier this month when Crowley consistently brought up his opposition to Trump and the chance for Democrats to take back the House. Meanwhile, Ocasio-Cortez consistently pounded the congressman for living outside the district and for his campaign contributions, including taking corporate PAC money.
Pelosi Praises Crowley and His Concession Following Primary Defeat
Money can buy love
After spending more than $20 million of his own money in two congressional races over the last four years, Democrat David Trone is poised to win Maryland’s 6th District, which Hillary Clinton carried with 56 percent of the vote in 2016.
New York’s 14th District
Republicans, including the president, are reveling in Crowley’s loss, and even in Ocasio-Cortez’s identification with the Democratic Socialists of America. But she’s running in a seat Clinton carried with 78 percent and will face a GOP college professor who doesn’t appear to have raised or spent more than $5,000 through June 6.
It’s pretty clear that the Utah GOP convention isn’t a particularly reliable predictor of the future after Senate candidate state Rep. Mike Kennedy finished first in April. But Mitt Romney won the primary Tuesday with more than 70 percent of the vote.
Things losing candidates say
Former New York Rep. Michael G. Grimmtold The Daily Beast last week, “Danny has just about every endorsement you can have, I have the people,” just before he lost the GOP primary, 64 percent to 36 percent, to Rep. Dan Donovan in the 11th District, which is probably enough to add it to “Things losing candidates say” except …
Things winning candidates say
“This race is about the people versus the money,” said Ocasio-Cortez before she defeated Crowley by double digits in the Democratic primary in New York’s 14th District.
Winter has come for the Democrats
From Bernie Sanders’ challenge to Clinton, to the 63 House Democrats who voted against Nancy Pelosi in the last Democratic leadership race, to the vocal opposition to the DCCC, to Ocasio-Cortez’s defeat of Crowley, Democrats are not immune to the anti-establishment sentiment Republicans have faced for years.
Winter will get worse for the Democrats
One of the last places Democrats have avoided a civil war is in Senate races, but that will change in 2020 when at least 20 Republican senators are up for re-election and Democrats will be flocking to challenge them.
Ocasio-Cortez, 28, is likely to become the youngest woman ever elected to Congress, edging out Republican Elise Stefanik, who was elected from New York’s 21st District in 2014 when she was 30 years old.
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