Siena College Poll Shows Maffei With Large Lead

Posted October 18, 2010 at 12:06pm

Rep. Dan Maffei had a double-digit lead over his Republican opponent, Ann Marie Buerkle, according to a new poll in upstate New York’s 25th district.

The Democratic lawmaker led Buerkle 51 percent to 39 percent, according to the survey done by Siena College for the Syracuse Post-Standard.

Even though Republicans have targeted the race, the poll found that Maffei is doing a better job of retaining Democratic voters than Buerkle is of drawing GOP support.

The poll also found that voters had a more positive assessment of Maffei. The Democrat was viewed favorably by half of voters and unfavorably by 40 percent. Buerkle was viewed favorably by 33 percent and unfavorably by 41 percent.

“For an incumbent, Maffei remains fairly popular and is seen as stronger on the issues,” Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said. “Buerkle must overcome her unfavorable standing with voters, convince voters she is stronger on key economic issues, and increase her support among Republicans and independents. A lot of work in two-plus weeks.”

The strong Republican political tide nationwide does not appear to be hitting the district, which includes Syracuse. The poll found that even though the district is evenly divided in party affiliation, Democratic gubernatorial contender Andrew Cuomo has a 34-point lead over Republican Carl Paladino.

The survey of 623 likely voters was conducted Oct 10-12. The margin of error was 3.9 points.