Poll Vault

Posted November 3, 2008 at 6:49pm

Alaska

Senate

New

Mark Begich (D) 48%
Sen. Ted Stevens (R) 40%
Hays Research Group (R) poll of 400 likely voters conducted Nov. 2. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

New

Begich 58%
Stevens 36%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 28-30 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

At-large

New

Ethan Berkowitz (D) 48%
Rep. Don Young (R) 41%
Hays Research Group (R) poll of 400 likely voters conducted Nov. 2. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

New

Berkowitz 53%
Young 44%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 28-30 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

Georgia

Senate

New

Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) 48%
Jim Martin (D) 39%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll of 600 likely voters conducted for Chambliss on Oct. 30. It had a 4-point margin of error.

New

Chambliss 47%
Martin 46%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 28-30 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

Kentucky

Senate

New

Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) 53%
Bruce Lunsford (D) 45%
SurveyUSA poll of 616 likely voters taken Oct. 29-Nov. 1 for WHAS-TV in Louisville and WLEX-TV in Lexington. It had a 4-point margin of error.

New

McConnell 47%
Lunsford 44%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 27-29 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

Minnesota

Senate

New

Sen. Norm Coleman (R) 44%
Al Franken (D) 39%
Dean Barkley (I) 16%
SurveyUSA poll of 669 likely voters conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 1 for three Minnesota TV stations. It had a 3.9-point margin of error.

New

Franken 42%
Coleman 38%
Barkley 15%
Minneapolis Star Tribune poll of 933 likely voters conducted Oct. 29-31 by Princetown Survey Research Associates International. It carried a 3.2-point margin of error.

New

Coleman 43%
Franken 40%
Barkley 15%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 27-29 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

3rd district

New

Erik Paulsen (R) 46%
Ashwin Madia (D) 41%
David Dillon (I) 10%
SurveyUSA poll of 647 likely voters taken Oct. 29-30 for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis. It had a 3.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Paulsen 44%
Madia 39%
Other 8%
Bennett, Petts & Normington (D) poll of 400 likely voters conducted Sept. 29-30 for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

6th district

New

Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) 46%
El Tinklenberg (D) 45%
Bob Anderson (I) 6%
SurveyUSA poll of 625 likely voters conducted for KTSP-TV Oct. 29-30. It had a 4-point margin of error.

Previous

Tinklenberg 45%
Bachmann 43%
Anderson 5%
Minnesota Public Radio/University of Minnesota poll of 430 likely voters conducted Oct. 21-23. It had a 4.7-point margin of error.

Mississippi

Senate

New

Sen. Roger Wicker (R) 51%
Ronnie Musgrove (D) 44%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 27-29 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

Previous

Wicker 47%
Musgrove 46%
Poll of 600 likely voters taken Oct. 14-15 by Research 2000 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

Nevada

2nd district

New

Rep. Dean Heller (R) 50%
Jill Derby (D) 37%
Other 4%
Las Vegas Review-Journal poll of 400 likely voters conducted by Mason-Dixon Oct. 28-29. It carried a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Heller 49%
Derby 41%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters conducted Oct. 3-6 for the Reno Gazette-Journal and KTVN-TV. It had a 5-point margin of error.

3rd district

New

Rep. Jon Porter (R) 44%
Dina Titus (D) 44%
Other 3%
Las Vegas Review-Journal poll of 400 likely voters conducted by Mason-Dixon Oct. 28-29. It carried a 4.9 point margin of error.

Previous

Porter 41%
Titus 39%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll of 400 likely voters taken Sept. 23-24 for Porter. It carried a 4.9-point margin of error.

New Hampshire

Senate

New

Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48%
Sen. John Sununu (R) 42%
Other 1%
WMUR-TV/University of New Hampshire tracking poll of 831 likely voters taken Oct. 30-Nov. 2. It carried a 3.4-point margin of error.

New

Shaheen 52%
Sununu 42%
Ken Blevens (L) 2%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 28-30 for the Concord Monitor. It had a 4-point margin of error.

1st district

New

Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) 46%
Jeb Bradley (R) 41%
Other 2%
WMUR-TV/University of New Hampshire tracking poll of 425 likely voters conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 2. It had a 4.8-point margin of error.

New

Shea-Porter 49%
Bradley 42%
Research 2000 poll of 300 likely voters taken for the Concord Monitor Oct. 28-30. It had a 5.7-point margin of error.

New Mexico

1st district

New

Martin Heinrich (D) 47%
Darren White (R) 43%
Research & Polling Inc. poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 28-30 for the Albuquerque Journal. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Heinrich 48%
White 42%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner poll of 450 likely voters taken Sept. 22-23 for Heinrich. It had a 4.6-point margin of error.

2nd district

New

Harry Teague (D) 45%
Ed Tinsley (R) 41%
Albuquerque Journal poll of 401 likely voters taken Oct. 28-30 by Research & Polling Inc. It carried a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Teague 47%
Tinsley 43%
Research 2000 poll conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 1 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It queried 400 likely voters and had a 4.9-point margin of error.

North Carolina

Senate

New

Kay Hagan (D) 50%
Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R) 45%
Other 3%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 28-30 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

New

Dole 46%
Hagan 45%
NBC News poll of 625 likely voters taken Oct. 29-30 by Mason-Dixon. It had a 3.9-point margin of error.

Oregon

Senate

New

Jeff Merkley (D) 48%
Sen. Gordon Smith (R) 42%
Other 5%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters conducted Oct. 27-29 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4-point margin of error.

New

Merkley 45%
Smith 40%
Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll taken Oct. 23-25 for the Portland Tribune and KPTV-TV. It queried 500 registered voters and had a 4.4-point margin of error.

Virginia

5th district

New

Rep. Virgil Goode (R) 50%
Tom Perriello (D) 47%
SurveyUSA poll of 640 likely voters taken Oct. 30-Nov. 2 for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke and WTVR-TV in Richmond. It had a 4-point margin of error.

Previous

Goode 57%
Perriello 40%
SurveyUSA poll of 680 likely voters conducted Oct. 6-7 for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke and WJLA-TV in Washington, D.C. It had a 3.8-point margin of error.

Wyoming

At-large

New

Cynthia Lummis (R) 49%
Gary Trauner (D) 45%
David Herbert (L) 2%
Research 2000 poll of 500 likely voters taken Oct. 27-29 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. The poll had a 4.4-point margin of error.

Previous

Lummis 50%
Trauner 44%
SurveyUSA poll of 604 likely voters conducted Sept. 18-19 for Roll Call. It had a 4-point margin of error.