Poll Vault

Posted October 27, 2008 at 6:38pm

Alabama

2nd district

New

Jay Love (R) 47%
Bobby Bright (D) 45%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 21-23 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Bright 50%
Love 43%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll of 403 likely voters conducted for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Oct. 20-21. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Arizona

3rd district

New

Rep. John Shadegg (R) 50%
Bob Lord (D) 40%
Other 2%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-22 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

California

4th district

New

Charlie Brown (D) 48%
Tom McClintock (R) 42%
Other 4%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-22 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Brown 46%
McClintock 41%
Other 5%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Sept. 23-25 for Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Florida

13th district

New

Rep. Vern Buchanan (R) 45%
Christine Jennings (D) 34%
Other 8%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-22 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Buchanan 46%
Jennings 30%
Jan Schneider (I) 8%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 1 for the National Republican Congressional Committee. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

21st district

New

Rep. Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) 45%
Raul Martinez (D) 44%
Other 1%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-23 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Diaz-Balart 48%
Martinez 43%
Carlos McDonald poll of 300 likely voters taken exclusively for WSCV-TV Sept. 27-Oct. 1. It had a 5.7-point margin of error.

25th district

New

Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R) 46%
Joe Garcia (D) 43%
Other 1%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-22 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Diaz-Balart 45%
Garcia 42%
Hamilton Campaigns (D) poll of 500 likely voters conducted Oct. 8-9 for Garcia. It had a 4.4-point margin of error.

Georgia

Senate

New

Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R) 45%
Jim Martin (D) 39%
Allen Buckley (L) 5%
Mason-Dixon poll of 625 likely voters taken Oct. 22-23 for NBC News. It had a 3.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Chambliss 46%
Martin 44%
Strategic Vision (R) poll of 800 likely voters conducted Oct. 20-22. It had a 3.5-point margin of error.

Illinois

10th district

New

Dan Seals (D) 49%
Rep. Mark Kirk (R) 43%
Other 1%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-22 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Kirk 47%
Seals 41%
Bennett, Petts and Normington (D) poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 15-16 for Progress Illinois, with a 4.9-point margin of error.

Kentucky

2nd district

New

David Boswell (D) 47%
Brett Guthrie (R) 41%
Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll of 401 likely voters conducted for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Oct. 20-21. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Guthrie 51%
Boswell 42%
SurveyUSA poll of 599 likely voters taken Oct. 15-17 for WHAS-TV. It had a 4.1-point margin of error.

Louisiana

6th district

New

Rep. Don Cazayoux (D) 38%
Bill Cassidy (R) 36%
Michael Jackson (I) 14%
Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates (R) poll of 300 likely voters taken Oct. 22-23 for Cassidy. It had a 5.7-point margin of error.

Previous

Cazayoux 46%
Cassidy 29%
Jackson 9%
Bennett, Petts and Normington poll (D) of 400 registered voters taken Oct. 8-9 for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Maryland

1st district

New

Andy Harris (R) 44%
Frank Kratovil (D) 40%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-23 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Kratovil 43%
Harris 41%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll of 401 likely voters conducted Oct. 6-7 for Kratovil. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Minnesota

6th district

New

El Tinklenberg (D) 45%
Rep. Michele Bachmann (R) 43%
Bob Anderson (I) 5%
Minnesota Public Radio/University of Minnesota poll of 430 likely voters conducted Oct. 21-23. It had a 4.7-point margin of error.

Previous

Bachmann 40%
Tinklenberg 27%
Alliance for a Better Minnesota poll of 400 likely voters taken Aug. 19-21. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Missouri

9th district

New

Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) 47%
Judy Baker (D) 42%
Other 8%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 20-22 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Luetkemeyer 49%
Baker 40%
Other 6%
A Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken for the Daily Kos (D) Web site Sept. 17-18. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

New Hampshire

Senate

New

Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49%
Sen. John Sununu (R) 36%
Other 2%
University of New Hampshire poll conducted for the Boston Globe. It queried 725 likely voters Oct. 18-22 and had a 3.6-point margin of error.

Previous

Shaheen 50%
Sununu 43%
Research 2000 poll of 600 likely voters taken Oct. 17-19 for the Concord Monitor. It had a 4-point margin of error.

Pennsylvania

3rd district

New

Rep. Phil English (R) 47%
Kathy Dahlkemper (D) 45%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll of 350 registered voters taken Oct. 22-23 for English. It had a 5.2-point margin of error.

Previous

Dahlkemper 48%
English 41%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters conducted Oct. 6-8 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Texas

7th district

New

Rep. John Culberson (R) 49%
Michael Skelly (D) 44%
Drew Parks (L) 3%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 22-23 for Skelly. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

New

Culberson 48%
Skelly 41%
Other/Undecided 12%
Zogby International poll of 421 likely voters conducted Oct. 20-22 for the Houston Chronicle. It had a 4.8-point margin of error.

10th district

New

Rep. Mike McCaul (R) 46%
Larry Joe Doherty (D) 42%
Other 4%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 21-23 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

McCaul 43%
Doherty 34%
Goodwin Simon Victoria Research (D) poll of 400 likely voters taken for Doherty May 27-31. It had a 5-point margin of error.

22nd district

New

Pete Olson (R) 42%
Rep. Nick Lampson (D) 42%
John Wieder (L) 3%
Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll of 400 likely voters conducted Oct. 18-20 for Lampson. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Washington

8th district

New

Rep. Dave Reichert (R) 46%
Darcy Burner (D) 46%
Other 1%
Research 2000 poll of 400 likely voters taken Oct. 21-23 for the Daily Kos (D) Web site. It had a 4.9-point margin of error.

Previous

Burner 50%
Reichert 46%
SurveyUSA poll of 641 likely voters taken Oct. 20-21 for KING-TV. It had a 4-point margin of error.