DCCC Polls Show Democratic Gains in New Jersey Races

Posted October 14, 2008 at 11:03am

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee on Tuesday released new polling data showing its candidates in the lead in two battleground New Jersey House races.

In the south-central 3rd district, state Sen. John Adler (D) held a 4-point lead over Medford Mayor Chris Myers (R) in the race to replace retiring Rep. Jim Saxton (R). And in the 7th district seat of retiring Rep. Mike Ferguson (R), state Assemblywoman Linda Stender (D) held a 9-point lead over state Sen. Leonard Lance (R).

The DCCC polling data was released just a week after two Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey polls showed Stender and Adler trailing, but within the margins of error.

The DCCC’s new 3rd district poll was conducted by Grove Insight on Oct. 2 -3 and surveyed 400 likely voters. It showed Adler at 38 percent and Myers at 34 percent. But that race is still considered a statistical tossup as the poll had a 4.9-point margin of error. A full 29 percent of voters remained undecided, according to the survey.

The DCCC’s new 7th district poll was conducted by the Benenson Strategy Group on Oct. 8-9 and included 406 likely voters. That poll showed Stender at 40 percent, Lance at 31 percent and 18 percent undecided. The poll had a margin of error of 4.9 points.

The key difference between the Benenson Strategy Group poll and the Monmouth University poll of the 7th district was that the latest poll showed conservative Independent candidate Michael Hsing taking 8 points while the Monmouth poll showed Hsing taking just 2 points. The Monmouth poll also indicated that only 14 percent of likely voters remained undecided in the race.