Kentucky: Yarmuth Has 8-Point Lead in Latest Survey

Posted September 9, 2008 at 6:10pm

Rep. John Yarmuth (D) held an 8-point lead over the woman he ousted from the 3rd district Congressional seat in 2006, according to a new poll conducted for a Louisville TV station.

In the poll, taken by the automated firm SurveyUSA, Yarmuth took 53 percent while former Rep. Anne Northup (R) took 45 percent. The poll of 646 likely voters was taken Sept. 5-7 and had a 4-point margin of error.

The latest poll represents a 2-point gain for Northup compared to a SurveyUSA poll conducted in July. Compared to a June SurveyUSA poll, Northup gained 5 points while Yarmuth lost 4 points. The former Congresswoman’s biggest gains have come among white voters. In June, Yarmuth had a 7-point lead among white voters. The September poll shows Northup leading by 3 points among that group.

While the Louisville district leans Democratic in presidential elections, Northup is a skillful campaigner and solid fundraiser. Yarmuth won his seat by 2 points in 2006, and the race is likely to be close again this year.