Skip to content

A Demographic Roadmap to the Obama-McCain Contest

Now that we’re ready to look in earnest ahead at the Barack Obama-John McCain contest, Gallup has delved into its data for May and come up with the following demographic roadmap. The margin of error for all these figures is 1 percent.

Before getting to the different voting blocs, it’s worth a look at Gallup’s rundown of how the Red vs. Blue states are sorting out. In states that President Bush won by more than 6 points, he leads Obama 52 percent to 39 percent. In states John Kerry won by similar margins, Obama leads 53 percent to 39 percent. In states where the margin was 5 points or less, Obama has a slim 47 percent to 44 percent edge.

Recent Stories

Are these streaks made to be broken?

Supreme Court airs concerns over Oregon city’s homelessness law

Supreme Court to decide if government can regulate ‘ghost guns’

Voters got first true 2024 week with Trump on trial, Biden on the trail

Supreme Court to hear oral arguments on abortion and Trump

House passes $95.3B aid package for Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan