Latest State-by-State General Election Match-Ups
Here are our latest additions to CQ Politics state-by-state general election match-ups:
– **New York:** Barack Obama leads John McCain 52 percent to 33 percent while Hillary Clinton leads him 59 percent to 29 percent according to a Rasmussen Reports poll released May 29. However, Rasmussen’s headline is that Clinton’s fellow New Yorkers feel it’s time for her to drop out by a 50 percent to 43 percent margin. Just to keep stirring the pot, 52 percent of New York Republicans want her to keep going. Obama now has a higher favorability rating than Clinton at 62 percent compared to her 55 percent. Sixty-five percent of New Yorkers place more importance on bringing American troops home from Iraq in the next four years compared to 30 percent who feel that winning the war is more important. Forty percent feel victory is likely under McCain, while 20 percent believe that of Obama. On the flip side, 53 percent believe it is likely that Obama would get the troops home before the end of his first term compared to 34 percent for McCain. In a Siena College poll conducted April 13-16, Clinton had the highest unfavorable rating that she ever recorded in this poll. Forty eight percent of New Yorkers saw her positively against 46 percent who did not. Obama’s favorability rating ws 54 percent to 35 percent and McCain’s was 54 percent to 35 percent. In that poll, both Clinton and Obama led McCain, but both were under 50 percent.
– **Kansas:**McCain leads Obama 49 percent to 39 percent with 10 percent undecided in a SurveyUSA poll conducted May 16-18. The margin of error is 4.1 percent. The biggest gender gap is with men voters where McCain leads Obama by 18 points. He leads Obama by 20 points among white voters. Independents prefer Obama by 7 points. In the mid-April SurveyUSA poll, https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=6c848613-8771-4188-9d0c-e46f4e873d4d McCain led Obama by 54 percent to 37 percent with a 4.4 percent margin of error.