Updated: State-by-State General Election Match-Ups
Here’s our latest additions to our round-up of state-by-state general election match-ups:
– **Pennsylvania:**Barack Obama Obama has a 48 percent to 40 percent lead over John McCain with 12 percent undecided in a SurveyUSA poll conducted May 16-18. The margin of error is 4.1 percent. The two run fairly evenly among men but Obama has a 14 point lead among women. The age group differences aren’t large except for the 27 percent of voters under 34 who favor Obama by just about 2-to-1. The two run evenly among white voters who make up 86 percent of the sample. A Quinnipiac Poll conducted April 23-29 had Obama ahead 47 percent to 38 percent.
– **New Mexico:** McCain and Obama run dead even at 44 percent each with 12 percent undecided in a SurveyUSA poll conducted May 16-18. The margin of error is 4.1 percent. McCain has a big 52 percent to 37 percent lead among white voters (49 percent of the sample) while Obama leads 51 percent to 40 percent among Hispanic voters (39 percent of the sample). McCain has more solid support among Republicans than Obama does among Democrats while McCain polls 13 points better than Obama among independents. In mid-April, McCain led Obama in this poll by 50 percent to 44 percent.
By the way, these presidential match-up numbers, sans Hillary Clinton, are pulled from a series of polls SurveyUSA has done in 17 states to test how Obama and McCain do when paired against each other with various vice presidential combinations. Unfortunately, SurveyUSA is presenting these one-by-one which makes it hard to compare over the range of states. So, instead go play our *VP Madness* bracketology game and choose McCain’s running-mate yourself! We’re entering the final round.