Clinton’s Big Lead in Kentucky, Obama’s Small One in Oregon

Posted May 16, 2008 at 1:27pm

For weeks, polling has shown that Hillary Rodham Clinton will win Kentucky and Barack Obama will win Oregon in Tuesday’s primaries. Today’s American Research Group poll of likely Democratic voters confirms those earlier surveys.

In Kentucky, Clinton leads Obama 65 to 29 percent. She trumps him in support from men (56 -38 percent) as well as women (72-21) and regardless of age. Obama leads Clinton among African American voters (91-7), who make up 11 percent of this electorate.

In Oregon, Obama’s lead is much narrower: 50 to 45 percent. He has more white voter support (51-44) and among those 18 to 49 years old (55-38). But Clinton has more support from women (51-44) and Hispanic voters (50-46). American Research Group says Hispanics are 6 percent of the vote.

The margin of error for each poll is +/- 4 percent and the surveys were conducted May 14-15.