Updated: Our General Election State-by-State Match-Ups
Adding two eastern seaboard states where the general election match-ups are competitive:
– **Virginia:** Barack Obama has pulled within 3 points of John McCain in a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted May 8. McCain leads Obama 47 percent to 44 percent with a margin of error of 4.5 percent, compared to an 11 point lead a month ago. He leads Hillary Clinton 47 percent to 41 percent. Sixty percent of Virginia voters view McCain favorably, 51 percent have positive views of Obama, and Clinton scores at 42 percent. Virginia has voted for Republicans in the last ten presidential races. A SurveyUSA poll in mid-April had McCain ahead of Obama 52 percent to 44 percent and leading Clinton 55 percent to 39 percent.
– **North Carolina:**The race between Obama and McCain is also within the margin of error here in a Rasmussen poll conducted May 8, with McCain leading Obama 48 percent to 45 percent. The margin of error is 4.5 percent. McCain leads Clinton 43 percent to 40 percent with a whopping 14 percent choosing “other.” Obama does best among voters making less than $20,000 a year or more than $75,000 while McCain does best among middle-income voters. McCain is viewed favorably by 53 percent of voters while Obama’s score is 51 percent. Feelings run stronger in both directions about Obama: 37 percent have a very favorable opinion of him while 30 percent have a very unfavorable opinion, compared to 18 percent and 23 percent respectively for McCain. Clinton’s favorable vote is 46 percent. A May 8-9 survey by Public Policy Polling shows McCain ahead by a bigger margin, though not a lead that’s out of reach. McCain leads Obama 49 percent to 42 percent and Clinton by 46 percent to 38 percent with a 4 percent margin of error.