New Hampshire: College Poll Carries Bad News for 2 Incumbents
Incumbents were trailing their opponents in two of the state’s three Congressional races this cycle, according to the latest Granite State Poll.
In the Senate race, former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) led Sen. John Sununu (R) 52 percent to 40 percent, with 7 percent of voters still undecided. Sununu had closed that gap somewhat from the same survey in February, which showed him trailing Shaheen by 17 points.
The poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire, surveyed 500 randomly selected state residents April 25-30 and had a margin of error of 4.4 points.
The same survey, conducted among 249 residents in the 1st district, showed freshman Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) trailing former Rep. Jeb Bradley (R) by 6 points with 13 percent undecided. In the poll, Bradley had 45 percent to Shea-Porter’s 39 percent. However, Shea-Porter led the other candidate seeking the Republican nomination, former state Health and Human Services Commissioner John Stephen, 43 percent to 35 percent, with 20 percent undecided.
Meanwhile, in the 2nd district, freshman Rep. Paul Hodes (D) carried a substantial edge over the top Republicans running against him.
The UNH survey of 251 voters showed him defeating former radio host Jennifer Horn, 52 percent to 25 percent, and besting state Sen. Bob Clegg, 51 percent to 24 percent. However, both Horn and Clegg, the two frontrunners in the four-way GOP primary, were relatively unknown to voters.
Both district surveys had a margin of error of 6.2 points.
— Shira Toeplitz