Obama Leads in North Carolina

Posted May 2, 2008 at 1:47pm

Three polls out today have Barack Obama ahead of Hillary Clinton by between 9 and 16 points in North Carolina, which votes next Tuesday. There’s also a new wave of polls today from Indiana, which also votes Tuesday, that you can find here in Poll Tracker. Those surveys and other recent ones from Indiana are more of a mixed bag.

Obama is leading Clinton by 50 percent to 34 percent with 8 percent not sure and 8 percent wanting someone else, according to a Zogby poll conducted April 30-May.1 The margin of error is 3.9 percent. Fifteen percent of voters said they were less likely to support Obama because of the controversy over his ex-pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright.

American Research Group has Obama ahead 52 percent to 41 percent with 5 percent undecided and 2 percent wanting someone else. The poll was conducted April 30-May 1 and has a 4 point margin of error. Clinton leads 55 percent to 37 percent among white voters (62 percent of the sample) and Obama is ahead among black voters 85 percent to 15 percent (34 percent of the sample.

Rasmussen Reports puts Obama ahead of Clinton 49 percent to 40 percent in its survey conducted May 1. The margin of error is 4 points. Obama had a 14 point lead in this poll a month ago. Eighty percent of voters said they had followed the controversy over Obama’s former pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright, and 43 percent said they believed Obama decided to denounce him Tuesday because he was outraged while 40 percent ascribed it to political convenience, which was a much kinder verdict than Rasmussen found when it asked this question in a national poll. Not surprisingly, 70 percent of Clinton supporters said the motive was political expediency and 69 percent of Obama backers said it was outrage on Obama’s part. Forty percent said they believe it was somewhat likely that Obama shared Wright’s views.

Compare this to other recent North Carolina polls:

**Research 2000:** Obama leads 51 percent to 44 percent with 3 percent undecided. Conducted April 29-30.
**InsiderAdvantage:** Clinton ahead by 44 percent to 42 percent with 14 percent undecided and a 3.8 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted April 29.