Our Latest Round-Up of State-by-State Polls
Here’s our latest round-up of state-by-state general election match-ups, with a new survey in New York providing more evidence of the negative sentiment building up against Hillary Clinton in her increasingly contentious contest with Barack Obama.
**New York:** Hillary Clinton leads John McCain in her homestate by a modest 46 to 42 percent while Barack Obama has a 45 percent to 40 percent lead, according to a Siena College poll conducted April 13-16. the margin of error is 3.9 percent. When Siena conducted its last poll in February, each Democrat led McCain by 7 points. But perhaps the big headline is that Clinton now has the highest unfavorable rating that she ever recorded in this poll. Forty eight percent of New Yorkers see her positively against 46 percent who do not. Obama’s favorability rating is 54 percent to 35 percent and McCain;s is 54 percent to 35 percent. Siena’s Stephen Greenberg says, “With a little more than six months until Election Day, New York is looking more `purple’ than `blue’ these days, since neither Clinton or Obama gets 50 percent of the vote against McCain, and both Democrats have small and shrinking leads.”
SurveyUSA said in an April 11-13 New York poll that Clinton leads McCain 59 percent to 35 percent in her home state, while Obama leads 52 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error is 4.4 percent. A Marist Poll conducted April 3-4 said if the election were held today McCain would run “surprisingly close” in New York to either Democrat. Clinton polls 48 percent to 46 percent against McCain, while McCain leads Obama 48 percent to 46 percent.