Our Latest State-by-State General Election Match-ups

Posted April 10, 2008 at 3:56pm

Rasmussen Reports has four new general election match-ups out today with one common denominator: among John McCain, Barack Obama and herself, she has the lowest favorability ratings in all of them.

**Ohio:** McCain leads Obama by 47 percent to 40 percent and Clinton by 47 percent to 42 percent in a poll conducted April 8. The margin of error is 4.5 percent. In last month’s Rasmussen poll, McCain led both by 6 points. A Quinnipiac University poll in late March had Clinton leading McCain 48 percent to 39 percent while Obama and McCain were locked at 43 percent to 42 percent. The margin of error was 2.8 percent. On the favorability scale, McCain scores 53 percent positive ratings, Obama 50 percent and Clinton 43 percent. Rasmussen says that if Obama is the nominee, 20 percent of Democrats would vote for McCain while 15 percent of Republicans would defect to Obama. With Clinton leading the ticket, 13 percent of Democrats would cross over to McCain while 9 percent of Republicans would back Clinton.

**New Mexico:** A race between McCain and either Democrat looks close right now. Obama leads McCain 45 percent to 42 percent and McCain leads Clinton 46 percent to 43 percent – both results within the 4.5 percent margin of error. McCain is viewed favorably by 57 percent of voters, Obama by 56 percent and Clinton by 46 percent, according to this April 8 survey. A mid-March SurveyUSA poll had shown both Clinton and Obama ahead of McCain by 51 percent to 45 percent, with a 4.4 percent margin of error.

**Alaska:** McCain leads Clinton by 25 points and Obama by 48 percent to 43 percent, with a 4.5 percent margin of error, in a poll conducted April 7. McCain’s favorable rating is 63 percent, Obama’s is 55 percent and Clinton’s is 35 percent.

**Montana:** McCain leads Obama by 48 percent to 43 percent, and is way ahead of Clinton, 54 percent to 36 percent, according to a poll conducted April 6. The margin of error is 4.5 percent. Rasmussen was impressed by Obama’s showing given George W. Bush’s 25 point victory in 2004. McCain is viewed favorably by 56 percent of voters, Obama by 54 percent and Clinton by 42 percent.