Clinton Maintains Double-Digit Lead In Pennsylvania
In the latest poll in Pennsylvania, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 51 percent to 39 percent, according to an American Research Group survey conducted March 26-27. The margin of error is 4 percent. Clinton’s lead is up one point from an ARG survey conducted earlier this month. The results are consistent with recent polls by Rasmussen Reports and Franklin & Marshall.
The gender gap is large here with Obama leading 51 percent to 38 percent among men voters and Clinton by 61 percent to 30 percent among women voters. Clinton leads by 2-to-1 among white voters who make up 79 percent of the sample, while Obama leads by more than 7-to-1 among black voters who comprise 17 percent of those Democrats likely to show up at the polls. Obama’s normal advantage among younger voters doesn’t apply here, but Clinton’s edge among older ones does – she leads by almost 2-to-1 among voters over 50. Thirteen percent of Democrats say they would not vote for Clinton if she got the nomination, and 23 percent said they would not vote for Obama. For a national perspective on voters who might sit out if their candidate lost, see yesterday’s CNN poll.
Check out this coverage of the race in Pennsylvania: