Obama Has a Big Lead in Next Tuesday’s Mississippi Primary

Posted March 7, 2008 at 12:48pm

Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 58 percent to 34 percent in next week’s primary in Mississippi, according to an American Research Group poll conducted March 5-6. It has a 4 point margin of error. Obama leads Clinton 66 percent to 31 percent among self-described Democrats, while Clinton while Clinton leads 44 percent to 31 percent among independents and Republicans. Clinton leads 61 percent to 22 percent among white voters (42 percent of the sample) while Obama leads 87 percent to 11 percent among black voters ( 55 percent of the sample). Twelve percent of likely Democratic voters say they would never vote for Clinton while 21 percent said they would never vote for Obama on the primary.) poll conducted March 5-6. It has a 4 point margin of error. Obama leads Clinton 66 percent to 31 percent among self-described independents, while Clinton while Clinton leads 44 percent to 31 percent among independents and Republicans. Clinton leads 61 percent to 22 percent among white voters (42 percent of the sample) while Obama leads 87 percent to 11 percent among black voters ( 55 percent of the sample). Twelve percent of likely Democratic voters say they would never vote for Clinton while 21 percent said they would never vote for Obama on the primary.

An InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion survey conducted March 6 shows Obama with a smaller 46 percent to 40 percent lead, with a 5 point margin of error. It does show a similar result to the ARG poll in finding that Clinton led among Independents 52.9 percent to 23.3 percent and among Republicans by 68.1 percent to 28.6 percent. InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery said, “Overall, I would have expected this to be a bigger margin for Obama. That still might happen. But the race deserves scrutiny, given the potential for Republican and independent participation in a state where Republicans are usually tied unalterably to their party.”

Stories from Mississippi on the primary:

– Clinton: “I Want To be There For You” (Jackson Clarion Ledger)
– Clinton Promises a Rebuilt Coast (Biloxi Sun-Herald)