Clinton Leading Obama In Pennsylvania But By Reduced Margin

Posted February 21, 2008 at 1:42pm

See the Full Franklin & Marshall College poll

Hillary Clinton is leading Barack Obama in Pennsylvania 44 percent to 32 percent, but as in Texas and Ohio, this represents a drop in more substantial margins she enjoyed earlier, according to this Feb. 13-18 survey.. In January, the F & M poll, conducted for several Pennsylvania newspapers and television stations, had Clinton leading by 20 points. With the primary still a month away, 20 percent of those surveyed said they didn’t yet know who they would vote for, and 37 percent of those who did choose between the two said they were still thinking about it.

In general election match-ups, McCain and Clinton run head-to-head at 46 percent each, and McCain leads Obama 44 percent to 43 percent. The margin of error for the poll is 3.9 percent.

SurveyUSA says a general election match-up between Clinton and John McCain in her home state of New York shows her leading 52 percent to 41 percent with a 4.4 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted Feb.15-17. On the issues, Clinton bests McCain on the economy, the environment, health care, Iraq and education, while McCain leads her among voters concerned about terrorism, Social Security and immigration. Obama performs similarly against McCain across these issues although one difference is that Obama bests him by a wide margin on Social Security.

But the real note of interest in the match-ups is that Obama would run stronger than Clinton *in her own state*, besting McCain 57 percent to 36 percent.

Other SurveyUSA state match-ups:

Wisconsin: McCain leads Clinton 49 percent ot 42 percent, Obama leads McCain 52 percent to 42 percent. Margin of error is 4.3 percent.
Iowa: McCain leads Clinton 52 percent to 41 percent, Obama leads McCain 51 percent to 41 percent. Margin of error is 4.2 percent.
Virginia: McCain leads Clinton 48 percent to 45 percent, Obama leads McCain 51 percent to 45 percent. Margin of error is 4.2 percent.

With the economy looming as the major issue on voters minds now, it is interesting to note that in these four states, Clinton and Obama do better with voters on the economy than McCain in New York and Virginia, but less so or not at all in Iowa and Wisconsin.