McCain Leads Obama (By A Lot) And Clinton In Florida Match-Ups

Posted February 18, 2008 at 5:33pm

Rasmussen Reports has two general election match-up polls today, for Florida and Minnesota. SurveyUSA had one for Wisconsin, which has its primary Tuesday.

In Florida, a survey conducted Feb.16 shows John McCain beating either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama. McCain bests Clinton 49 percent to 43 percent, but he puts away Obama by 53 percent to 37 percent. The margin of error is 4.5 percent. Most of the state match-up polls we’ve seen show tight races between Clinton and McCain, but Obama usually out ahead of McCain by at least a small margin. Rasmussen says “the poll contains hints that suggest the controversy over Florida’s convention delegates may be hurting Obama.” The Democratic Party stripped Florida of its convention seats for moving up its primary to January.

In Minnesota, things fall more into line with other state polls. McCain leads Clinton 47 percent to 42 percent, but Obama beats him 53 percent to 38 percent, also with a 4.5 percent margin of error. The poll was conducted Feb.16.

SurveyUSA’s look-ahead to November in Wisconsin says McCain would beat Clinton 49 percent to 42 percent, with 9 percent undecided and a 4.3 percent margin of error. Obama would beat McCain 52 percent to 52 percent with 6 percent undecided and the same margin of error. The poll was conducted Feb.15-17. SurveyUSA notes that a Democratic defeat here would be the first since 1984 when Ronald Reagan beat Walter Mondale.

See our earlier post on a poll showing Obama ahead in tomorrow’s primary and Huckabee gaining some ground on McCain.