Two National Polls, Two Different Results For The Democrats

Posted February 13, 2008 at 3:10pm

The latest Gallup daily poll tracking report shows little change – in popular support nationally, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are still locked in a statistical tie, 45 percent to 44 percent with a 3 percent margin of error. The survey period was Feb.10-12 and did not reflect Obama’s Tuesday night Potomac Primary sweep. Same is true on the GOP side. John McCain leads Mike Huckabee 51 percent to 29 percent with Ron Paul at 6 percent. A Rasmussen Reports poll has McCain ahead 45 percent to 33 percent.

However, Rasmussen has different results than Gallup on the Democratic side. This poll puts Obama ahead of Clinton for the first time, 46 percent to 41 percent. The margin of error is 4 percent. Last Week, Clinton had a 6 point lead. Rasmussen says Obama’s lead among black voters is 64 percent to 9 percent, while Clinton leads among white voters 47 percent to 43 percent. In one finding that could be a big factor if the general election is a McCain-Obama match-up, the poll said Obama held a big lead among unaffiliated voters likely to vote in a Democratic primary.

In general election match-ups, Obama leads McCain 46 percent to 40 percent, but McCain leads Clinton 46 percent to 42 percent.