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Stuart Rothenberg


Stuart Rothenberg is editor and publisher of the Rothenberg Political Report, a nonpartisan, nonideological political newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate and gubernatorial campaigns. He is also a twice-a-week columnist for Roll Call. His column covers campaigns, elections, presidential politics and current political developments.

He holds a B.A. from Colby College (Waterville, Maine) and a Ph.D. in political science from the University of Connecticut. He has taught at Bucknell University (Lewisburg, Pennsylvania) and at the Catholic University of America (Washington, D.C.).

A frequent soundbite, Stu has appeared on Meet the Press, This Week, Face the Nation, the NewsHour, Nightline and many other television programs. He is often quoted in the nation's major media, and his op-eds have appeared in the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal and other newspapers.

Stu served during the 2008 and 2010 election cycles as an analyst for the NewsHour on PBS. During the 2006 cycle, he was a political analyst for CBS News. Prior to that, he was a political analyst for CNN for over a decade, including election nights from 1992 through 2004. He has also done on-air analysis for the Voice of America.

He is married, has two children and lives in Potomac, Md.

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Stories by Stuart Rothenberg:

Rothenberg: Youth Vote Could Seal GOP's Minority Status

Feb. 6, 2013

We may well be at a political tipping point that could mark a dramatic change in American politics.

Rothenberg: Obama Looms Large Over Democrats' 2014 Fight to Retain the Senate

Feb. 4, 2013

The odds are against Senate Democrats this cycle. But, of course, they were against the party two years ago at this time, and Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Executive Director Guy Cecil didn’t merely beat the odds — he slaughtered them.

Rothenberg: Is New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie Overhyped?

Jan. 30, 2013

While this year’s race for governor in Virginia will draw plenty of attention, the 2013 gubernatorial contest in New Jersey looks like a yawner.

Rothenberg: Have Republicans Turned the Corner on Strategy?

Jan. 28, 2013

After spending a little more than a year ramming their heads into a brick wall, congressional Republicans and their allies have taken their first positive step: They have stopped doing it.

Senate Majority Leader's Biography Badly Needs a Rewrite

Jan. 23, 2013

“He has earned the trust of both Democrats and Republicans” and has a “reputation for integrity and fairness,” says the biography of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid on his official Senate website.

Rothenberg: The 2016 Presidential Race Begins Today

Jan. 21, 2013

It is far too early to handicap the 2016 Academy Awards, the 2016 World Series or the 2016 Summer Olympics. And yet, if you are a true political junkie, you may already be apoplectic that we aren’t yet knee-deep in discussions about the next presidential race.

Rothenberg: Who Is Least Likely to Lose the Virginia Gubernatorial Race?

Jan. 14, 2013

While most political attention these days is focused on the nation’s capital and President Barack Obama’s second term, across the river in Virginia, politicians from both parties are preparing for what seems to be the oddest gubernatorial race the state has seen in years.

Rothenberg: Are Democratic Insiders Missing the Boat in Massachusetts as Special Election Draws Closer?

Jan. 7, 2013

Democratic insiders are hoping to avoid a primary to pick the party’s nominee for the special election to fill Democrat John Kerry’s eventual open Senate seat later this year. So, they have jumped on the Rep. Edward J. Markey bandwagon, hoping to anoint him as their nominee without much of a fight.

Rothenberg: Obama Wins First Round, With More Bouts to Come in 2013

Jan. 2, 2013

We’ve just seen Round One in what amounts to a political heavyweight championship fight between Democrats and Republicans. Get ready for the next 11 rounds.

The New Year Can't Come Soon Enough for the GOP

Dec. 19, 2012

As the end of the year approaches, it’s difficult not to see the two parties heading in very different directions.

Looking Back on 2012 Cycle's Long and Winding Road

Dec. 17, 2012

Wow, what a political cycle. It was filled with twists, turns and surprises.

The Best and Worst of the 2012 Campaigns, Part II

Dec. 12, 2012

My last column included awards for a number of 2012 campaign and candidate categories, including the luckiest candidate and the biggest upset. But those only scratched the surface in an election year during which candidate quality mattered a great deal. Part II of my guide of the best and worst of the 2012 election cycle features some usual and a few more unusual categories.

Best and Worst Of the 2012 Campaigns: Part I

Dec. 10, 2012

As another election year draws to a close, it’s time again for me to pick the cycle’s winners and losers, my most and least favorite candidates, and those who distinguished themselves by skill or by old-fashioned dumb luck.

Handicapping 2014: A Pause Could Add Perspective

Dec. 5, 2012

The tendency to begin analyzing the next election cycle even before the votes have been counted in the last one shows no indication of abating, unfortunately.

For the Fiscal Cliff Talks, It's Back to the Future Again

Dec. 3, 2012

Anyone who hoped that Democrats and Republicans could find a quick way to avoid the upcoming fiscal cliff should by now know that we are heading for another of those buzzer-beater endings — if Congress and the White House beat the buzzer at all.

Supermajority Within Reach for Senate Democrats

Nov. 28, 2012

Just two years ago, Republicans seemed likely to have a chance at 60 Senate seats following the 2014 elections. But things certainly changed after Democrats won 25 of the 33 seats up this year.

Hollywood Cachet Doesn't Always Cash In

Nov. 26, 2012

Today’s question: What do the following people have in common: actors Alec Baldwin and Robert Redford, former Green Bay Packers quarterback Bart Starr and former New York Rangers goalie Mike Richter?

Drawing the Wrong Meaning About a House Race

Nov. 19, 2012

I’ll admit that I get a little defensive about the coverage of House races.

Perfect Storm for Democratic Pickups

Nov. 14, 2012

While most members of the national media have focused on President Barack Obama’s narrow popular vote/substantial electoral vote victory, the far more stunning results occurred in the Senate.

What Really Happened in the House

Nov. 12, 2012

Almost inevitably, both sides overreact. Some losers see the sky falling, while too many winners (and their press people) draw exaggerated conclusions about their brilliance and about the voters’ messages.

Mixed Message: Divided Nation Is Still Divided

Nov. 7, 2012

Tuesday’s results were not unexpected, but that doesn’t mean they shouldn’t send shock waves through the political establishment.

Jumping to Conclusions on the 2012 Elections

Nov. 5, 2012

If there is one thing that you can probably bet on, it is that the winners and losers in today’s balloting will draw the wrong conclusions from the outcome.

Coming Down to the End of the Line in 2012

Oct. 31, 2012

As Election Day approached in 2006, 2008 and 2010, I was reasonably confident about the kind of an election we would have, even if I wasn’t sure about the exact outcome. Four years ago at this time, for example, we all had a pretty good idea who the next president would be.

The Economy Is Crumbling So Let’s Talk Abortion and Rape

Oct. 29, 2012

The unemployment rate is still 7.8 percent, and the gross domestic product is growing at a sluggish 2 percent. Young people graduating college can’t find jobs and are living in their parents’ houses. Economies in Europe and Asia are weakening, suggesting additional problems in the year ahead for the U.S. economy.

Reverting to the Norm: The Race Narrows

Oct. 24, 2012

With less than two weeks to go until the elections, the presidential race continues to revert to the norm, a development that can only worry the president and his top strategists.

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