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Stuart Rothenberg

Bio:

Stuart Rothenberg is editor and publisher of the Rothenberg Political Report, a nonpartisan, nonideological political newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate and gubernatorial campaigns. He is also a twice-a-week columnist for Roll Call. His column covers campaigns, elections, presidential politics and current political developments.

He holds a B.A. from Colby College (Waterville, Maine) and a Ph.D. in political science from the University of Connecticut. He has taught at Bucknell University (Lewisburg, Pennsylvania) and at the Catholic University of America (Washington, D.C.).

A frequent soundbite, Stu has appeared on Meet the Press, This Week, Face the Nation, the NewsHour, Nightline and many other television programs. He is often quoted in the nation's major media, and his op-eds have appeared in the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal and other newspapers.

Stu served during the 2008 and 2010 election cycles as an analyst for the NewsHour on PBS. During the 2006 cycle, he was a political analyst for CBS News. Prior to that, he was a political analyst for CNN for over a decade, including election nights from 1992 through 2004. He has also done on-air analysis for the Voice of America.

He is married, has two children and lives in Potomac, Md.

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Stories by Stuart Rothenberg:

Is Arkansas Really the Land of Opportunity for Democrats?

Dec. 16, 2013

When we think of political battlegrounds, states like Ohio and Florida come to mind. But every so often, a small state becomes a partisan political battleground.

The DNC's Deceptive Message on Louisiana

Dec. 12, 2013

I wasn’t surprised to get an email recently from a regional Democratic National Committee press secretary seeking to tarnish the credentials of Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal.

Awards for the Best and Worst of Politics in 2013

Dec. 9, 2013

Yes, folks, it’s time again for my end-of-the-year awards. It’s been a weird year, but face it: Weird is the new normal in politics.

Cochran to Seek Re-Election in Mississippi

Dec. 6, 2013

Mississippi Sen. Thad Cochran has decided to seek re-election and is expected to announce that decision shortly. The Republican incumbent will likely face a competitive primary election against state Sen. Chris McDaniel.

The Democratic Leadership Council's Advice for Republicans

Dec. 5, 2013

If you, like George Santayana, believe that those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it, you may want to take a look at Democratic Leadership Council founder Al From’s new book, “The New Democrats and the Return to Power,” just published by Palgrave Macmillan.

A Traditional Midterm Headache for Democrats

Dec. 3, 2013

Democrats have had a nice run recently of interesting House recruits and new takeover opportunities resulting from open GOP seats. And yet, it probably won’t matter.

If Linda Lingle Could, Why Can’t Wendy Davis?

Nov. 25, 2013

As longtime readers of this column know, voters in one-party states sometimes elect the nominee of the “wrong” party as governor. Today’s question is whether state Sen. Wendy Davis, a Democrat, has a fighting chance to win next year’s gubernatorial election in Texas, which remains a rock-solid Republican state.

The Most Divided House District in New York

Nov. 18, 2013

Last month I wrote about a handful of interesting Democratic House candidates I had recently interviewed, but I did not include Martha Robertson, who is challenging GOP Rep. Tom Reed in New York’s 23rd District.

A Critical Few Weeks for Democrats? It Could Get Worse

Nov. 13, 2013

No wonder some Democratic strategists are nervous about the next few weeks.

Why Most Postmortems of Virginia's Gubernatorial Race Are Wrong

Nov. 11, 2013

The dust has settled (mostly) from last week’s elections, so I thought it time to present a very different assessment of what happened in Virginia than the snapshot I’ve seen from others.

Buyer Beware: There Are Polls, and Then There Are Polls

Nov. 7, 2013

Given the “success” (note sarcasm) of some polls in the Virginia gubernatorial race Tuesday, it might be worthwhile to note the very divergent surveys in the Texas gubernatorial race.

Victory Is in the Eye of the Beholder in New Jersey, Virginia and Alabama

Nov. 6, 2013

Tuesday’s election results offer something for everyone.

Correcting the (Politico) Record on Louisiana

Nov. 5, 2013

I had to laugh when I saw the headline in the Nov. 4 paper edition of Politico: “Louisiana Key to GOP Senate Control.”

Two House Candidates Who Stumbled Over Simple Questions

Nov. 4, 2013

Retired Air Force Col. Martha McSally is personable and engaging, and her 2,454-vote loss to Democratic Rep. Ron Barber in Arizona’s 2nd District in 2012 demonstrates that she has appeal as a congressional candidate.

In Louisiana, Democrats Doth Protest Too Much

Oct. 30, 2013

If you were a Democrat who thought the GOP was heading toward selecting a weak nominee incapable of beating Sen. Mary L. Landrieu, D-La., next year, would you tear down that damaged candidate, knowing that it might bring stronger hopefuls into the race? Or would you keep your mouth shut, so Republicans would nominate the sure loser?

6 Democratic House Candidates With Plenty of Potential

Oct. 28, 2013

In this political environment, not having an extensive legislative record can be an asset. Not surprisingly then, three of six Democratic House candidates I interviewed recently have never before sought elective office, and a fourth was elected as a judge, not a legislator. (I will discuss a seventh Democratic hopeful, Martha Robertson, in a separate column.)

'The Political Middle Has Disappeared'

Oct. 22, 2013

A terrific post-shutdown “after action report” by Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies, who is one-half of the bipartisan polling team that conducts the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, includes one slide (No. 7) that I found particularly instructive.

The Most Important Election of 2014

Oct. 21, 2013

So now we know.

For GOP, the Damage Is Undeniable

Oct. 16, 2013

The deal to open the government and raise the debt ceiling may be done, but the damage to the national Republican Party is considerable.

Is Cruz Causing a Democratic Wave? Maybe, but Don't Jump the Gun

Oct. 11, 2013

Last week I observed that I hadn’t yet seen “compelling evidence” that a Democratic political wave could be developing. I can no longer say that after seeing the recently released NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

Shutdown Fever: Is the House in Play Now?

Oct. 7, 2013

On Sunday, a Huffington Post headline screamed what most Democrats were hoping: “GOP In Grave Danger Of Losing House In 2014, PPP Polls Show.” Of course, anything coming from Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling and MoveOn.org Political Action, which paid for the surveys, must be taken with at least a grain of salt.

Bad Polling + Wishful Thinking = Bad Journalism

Oct. 3, 2013

I’m not sure which is worse — a silly Steve Lonegan poll in the New Jersey Senate race or the way a handful of conservative “news” outlets treated it. They are both pretty terrible.

Republican Senate Hopefuls Vary in Quality, Approach

Oct. 1, 2013

I recently interviewed four Republican Senate candidates in the space of one week, and if I had to draw a single assessment from those meetings it would be that there is plenty of diversity in the GOP’s class of Senate hopefuls.The four differed in stature, style and background, and they dealt with the party’s internal debate of style and strategies in a variety of ways.

OMG!!! A GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN. Or Maybe Not

Sept. 26, 2013

Once again, Henny Penny is running around to warn us that the sky is falling. A government shutdown is only [fill in the blank] days, [fill in the blank] hours and [fill in the blank] minutes away. The countdown clock shows the seconds ticking by. The end is near.

RNC Fundraises Off Ted Cruz

Sept. 24, 2013

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus is an advocate of the big-tent approach to grow the GOP, but apparently he isn’t above grabbing onto Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s coattails if it can help fundraising.

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