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Stuart Rothenberg


Stuart Rothenberg is editor and publisher of the Rothenberg Political Report, a nonpartisan, nonideological political newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate and gubernatorial campaigns. He is also a twice-a-week columnist for Roll Call. His column covers campaigns, elections, presidential politics and current political developments.

He holds a B.A. from Colby College (Waterville, Maine) and a Ph.D. in political science from the University of Connecticut. He has taught at Bucknell University (Lewisburg, Pennsylvania) and at the Catholic University of America (Washington, D.C.).

A frequent soundbite, Stu has appeared on Meet the Press, This Week, Face the Nation, the NewsHour, Nightline and many other television programs. He is often quoted in the nation's major media, and his op-eds have appeared in the New York Times, the Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal and other newspapers.

Stu served during the 2008 and 2010 election cycles as an analyst for the NewsHour on PBS. During the 2006 cycle, he was a political analyst for CBS News. Prior to that, he was a political analyst for CNN for over a decade, including election nights from 1992 through 2004. He has also done on-air analysis for the Voice of America.

He is married, has two children and lives in Potomac, Md.

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Stories by Stuart Rothenberg:

Speaking Style Says Volumes About GOP Race

Nov. 23, 2015

In a race filled with plenty of fast-talking, quick-tongued hopefuls — including Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and, at one point, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal — Ben Carson stands out as very different, and not only because of his race, resume and life accomplishments.

Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama and Democrats Playing Defense

Nov. 18, 2015

I say it repeatedly: Events matter. And for President Barack Obama, the terror attacks in Paris present a no-win political situation, at least until other, compelling news changes the subject.

Don't Get Too Caught Up in the Trump and Carson 'Panic'

Nov. 16, 2015

The panic is palpable from the media and too many GOP “insiders.”

Hillary Clinton and the Two-Term Jinx

Nov. 9, 2015

I hear it all the time: Voters want change after one party has held the White House for eight years, and that’s why only once over the past six decades has a party held the presidency for three consecutive terms. Tough luck, Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh

Nov. 3, 2015

Though I took notice of Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner’s endorsement of Sen. Marco Rubio for president, I didn’t immediately think about Gardner as a possible running mate for Rubio — until a CQ Roll Call colleague dropped that pearl of wisdom in my lap.

Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination

Nov. 2, 2015

Carly Fiorina is popular among Republicans, both nationally and in Iowa. And yet, when those same Republicans are asked to name their preferred candidate for president, they generally don’t select her. Why?

Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances

Oct. 28, 2015

Bobby Jindal and Ted Cruz continue to plug away in Iowa, far back from the front-runners. But both are well aware that if Ben Carson turns out to be little more than Herman Cain, a political outsider who briefly sat atop the 2012 field, each of them could have his own moment.

Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush

Oct. 26, 2015

It’s still more than three months before the Iowa caucuses, but the next four weeks are crucial for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who started with the kinds of political assets that led many to regard him as the front-runner in the GOP race.

What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?

Oct. 20, 2015

I never expected Kentucky GOP Sen. Rand Paul would win his party’s nomination for president, but I did expect he would be a factor in the race. So far, he hasn’t been one. (See my February column on his foreign policy challenges here.)

Ryan Is Damned if He Does, and Damned if He Doesn’t

Oct. 15, 2015

I no longer underestimate Paul D. Ryan.

Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz

Oct. 13, 2015

It is increasingly apparent the GOP needs to nominate Texas Sen. Ted Cruz for president next year.

Why I Keep Forgetting About John Kasich

Oct. 7, 2015

The Republican contest for president probably will boil down to a fight between a pragmatic conservative, such as former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, and either an uncompromising conservative, such as Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, or an outsider, like Ben Carson.

Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones

Oct. 6, 2015

Last month, national polls by CNN/ORC, Fox News and NBC News/Wall Street Journal got plenty of attention, and they certainly helped readers and viewers understand what is going on in the Republican and Democratic presidential contests.

Young, Ambitious and Wealthy Isn't Enough in Arkansas

Sept. 21, 2015

Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge announced on Sept. 9 he will seek the Arkansas Democratic Senate nomination and the right to challenge incumbent Republican Sen. John Boozman in 2016.

And the News Gets Worse for Clinton

Sept. 14, 2015

Compared to the Republican race for president, the Democratic contest looks almost normal.

A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race

Sept. 9, 2015

Republican front-runner Donald Trump isn’t going away anytime soon, I now believe.

Does David Vitter Have Something to Worry About?

Sept. 1, 2015

Two-term Republican Sen. David Vitter started his bid for Louisiana governor as a solid, if not prohibitive, favorite. But Pelican State watchers believe that Vitter’s prospects look less certain now than they did six months ago.

Missing the Boat on the Big Political News

Aug. 24, 2015

On Aug. 21, I did something — twice — that I rarely do. I tweeted. But it wasn’t about Donald Trump’s poll numbers or Hillary Rodham Clinton’s emails. It was about the stock market’s plunge.

One Last Hurrah for Joe Biden?

Aug. 4, 2015

The news that Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. is giving serious consideration to running for president spread like wildfire over the weekend.

Chris Christie’s Conundrum

July 28, 2015

On first glance, Christie’s bio and profile should make him a top-tier hopeful for the 2016 Republican nomination. But he isn’t — at least not right now. In this case, timing is everything.

President-Elect Donald Trump Announces First Cabinet Picks

July 23, 2015

Nov. 9, 2016, ATLANTIC CITY, N.J. — President-elect Donald Trump announced his first cabinet selections last night, minutes after the major networks projected him as the winner in Tuesday’s election.

The Politics of Identity Politics

July 21, 2015

“I’m tired of hyphenated Americans,” complains Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal in “We’re All Americans,” a television spot aired by Believe Again, the super PAC supporting the presidential hopeful’s bid.

Who Will Benefit From the Issues Mix in 2016?

July 13, 2015

Every election is different, but they almost always come down to one question: What is the election about?

Bernie Sanders: The Latest Version of Howard Dean

July 8, 2015

Vermont Sen. Bernard Sanders’ poll numbers in New Hampshire have reporters taking notice and progressive Democrats excited: Bernie is surging!

The Donald Trump Impact: Not so Inevitable After All

July 6, 2015

I was surprised by the near unanimity over the weekend about the impact of the Donald Trump comments about Mexican immigrants. Almost every disinterested political observer agreed Trump’s typically over-the-top remarks were certain to hurt GOP prospects in the 2016 presidential election.

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