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Nathan L. Gonzales


Nathan L. Gonzales is political editor of The Rothenberg Political Report, a nonpartisan political newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate and gubernatorial campaigns, and presidential politics. He has been with the Report for over nine years and is also a contributing writer for Roll Call, the Capitol Hill newspaper.

Since 2002, Nathan has worked as an off-air consultant for ABC NEWS on their Election Night Decision Desk. Previously, he worked for CNN.com and as associate producer for CNN’s “Capital Gang.”

His quotes have appeared in the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal and USA Today, as well as numerous state and regional newspapers all across the country. Nathan has also appeared on CNN, Fox News Channel, and other local network affiliates.

Nathan, an Oregon native, holds a M.A. from the George Washington University (Washington, D.C.), a B.A. from Vanguard University (Costa Mesa, Calif.), and has interned in the White House Press Office. He is married with two children and lives in Washington, D.C.

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Stories by Nathan L. Gonzales:

Race Ratings Change: Kentucky Senate

Dec. 19, 2013

Itís no secret that Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell faces a troublesome re-election bid. The Republican incumbent is taking heat from the left and the right on a daily (or even hourly) basis.

Race Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate

Dec. 19, 2013

Democratic Sen. Tim Johnsonís open seat in South Dakota continues to be the most likely seat to change partisan hands next year. It doesnít help that his party canít agree on whether to support the only Democratic candidate in the race.

Race Ratings Change: Iowa's 3rd District

Dec. 18, 2013

Republican Rep. Tom Lathamís retirement announcement put another GOP seat into play for Democrats and capped off a wild day in congressional handicapping. He leaves behind the 3rd District of Iowa, which should turn into a good Democratic opportunity.

Race Ratings Change: Utah's 4th District

Dec. 17, 2013

Rep. Jim Mathesonís retirement means the Democratic hold on Utahís 4th District is all but over. Matheson represented the most Republican district held by a Democrat in the House. Now that heís not running for re-election, his party will be hard-pressed to replace him.

How the Calendar Will Influence GOP Senate Primaries

Dec. 17, 2013

Stories about Republican primaries are all the rage, and weíre still nearly three months from the first actual election. But in all of the analysis of vulnerable senators, voting scorecards and outside groups, itís important to remember the calendar and how primary results could affect subsequent races.

Race Ratings Change: Wolfís Retirement Moves Virginiaís 10th District

Dec. 17, 2013

Republican Rep. Frank R. Wolfís retirement gives Democrats an opportunity to win Virginiaís 10th District next year.

Louisiana Ad Could Preview 2014 Democratic Playbook

Dec. 13, 2013

A new television ad by a Democratic-aligned super PAC in Louisiana is more than an early attack ad in an important Senate race. Itís an important sneak peek into what Democratic ads could look like in races all over the country next year.

One Reason Donald Trump Should Be President

Dec. 13, 2013

Itís not very challenging to write about the countless reasons why Donald Trump would not make a good president. But there is one thing the Donald does that might be useful in the Oval Office ó he fires people.

Pryor Clings to Guns, Religion in Tough Re-Election Race

Dec. 9, 2013

Itís no secret that Mark Pryor is in a difficult race for a third term in Arkansas. The Democratic senator will likely face GOP Rep. Tom Cotton in a must-win race for Republicans, if they want to recapture the majority.

What Happened to the Campaign for Primary Accountability?

Dec. 5, 2013

Competitive primaries are raging, but one of the groups that received the most attention last cycle for ousting incumbents is still on the sidelines. So far this cycle, the Campaign for Primary Accountability is nowhere to be found.

The $2 Billion Campaign Against John Cornyn (Updated)

Dec. 4, 2013

Updated 4:38 p.m. | Democrat David Alameel announced recently his challenge to Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, and the wealthy dentist said money wonít be a problem. Iím not so sure.

House Democrats' Not-So-Secret Weapon for 2014: Cash

Dec. 4, 2013

House Democrats are stockpiling cash, and some GOP strategists have expressed concern that Democrats could use their financial advantage to expand the playing field.

Open Your Mind to the Possibility of Another Midterm Mess for Democrats

Nov. 26, 2013

Democrats might want to consider opening their minds to the potential of another midterm nightmare.

The Most Competitive Race in West Virginia?

Nov. 21, 2013

Democrats recruited West Virginia State Auditor Glen Gainer to run in the 1st District in the aftermath of the government shutdown. But the partyís best opportunity in the state might be in the 2nd District, with a candidate that some national strategists were wary of earlier this year.

GOP Dusts Off Old Playbook Against Sink in Florida Special Election

Nov. 19, 2013

Next yearís special election in Floridaís 13th District is likely to be very competitive and expensive, but Republicans might be able to save some money on production costs by dusting off some old television ads and reusing them.

23 of 25 Vulnerable Democrats Vote in Favor of Upton Bill

Nov. 15, 2013

Virtually every House Democrat listed as vulnerable by Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call voted for Republican Michigan Rep. Fred Uptonís Keep Your Health Plan Act.

Michigan Senate Seat No Longer Safe for Democrats

Nov. 14, 2013

Republicans donít need to win Michigan to get the majority in the Senate, but the Wolverine State could become a serious takeover target later next year.

Ratings Change: Nebraska's 2nd District

Nov. 14, 2013

After seven unsuccessful attempts, Democrats believe 2014 will finally be the year they knock off Rep. Lee Terry, R-Neb.

For Some Candidates, Home Is Where the Opportunity Is

Nov. 7, 2013

We all know that candidates and members donít have to live in a House district in order to run or even represent that area. And Iíve written about a number of top-tier Democratic hopefuls this cycle who donít live in the district where they are campaigning.

New Jerseyís 3rd District Now Open, Now a Tossup

Nov. 6, 2013

GOP Rep. Jon Runyanís retirement takes New Jerseyís 3rd District from the outskirts of the competitive race conversation to close to the epicenter.

Ratings Change: Nevada Governor

Nov. 1, 2013

Sometimes political handicapping can be difficult ó a life of agonizing over whether a race leans to one party or the other or is a genuine tossup. But there is one way to identify a ďsafeĒ race.

The Most Vulnerable Governor in the Country

Nov. 1, 2013

There is still a year until the midterm election, but Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett is in very serious jeopardy of losing re-election in 2014.

Ratings Change: New Hampshire Governor

Oct. 31, 2013

New Hampshire could have two competitive contests next year, but the gubernatorial race isnít likely to be one of them.

Democrats Look for Mini-Wave in Arkansas in 2014

Oct. 21, 2013

Barack Obama received just 39 percent of the vote in Arkansas in the last presidential race, but thatís not stopping Democratic optimism in the Razorback State in 2014.

From Family Tragedy to Congress Is a Difficult Trail

Oct. 21, 2013

In 2007, William Petit survived a brutal home invasion in which his wife and two daughters were killed. Last year, Amar Kalekaís father was killed in the shooting at a Sikh temple in Wisconsin. Now, both men are seriously considering running for office.

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