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Nathan L. Gonzales


Nathan L. Gonzales is political editor of The Rothenberg Political Report, a nonpartisan political newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate and gubernatorial campaigns, and presidential politics. He has been with the Report for over nine years and is also a contributing writer for Roll Call, the Capitol Hill newspaper.

Since 2002, Nathan has worked as an off-air consultant for ABC NEWS on their Election Night Decision Desk. Previously, he worked for and as associate producer for CNN’s “Capital Gang.”

His quotes have appeared in the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal and USA Today, as well as numerous state and regional newspapers all across the country. Nathan has also appeared on CNN, Fox News Channel, and other local network affiliates.

Nathan, an Oregon native, holds a M.A. from the George Washington University (Washington, D.C.), a B.A. from Vanguard University (Costa Mesa, Calif.), and has interned in the White House Press Office. He is married with two children and lives in Washington, D.C.

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Stories by Nathan L. Gonzales:

Ratings Change: Michigan Senate

March 4, 2014

When it comes to Republican chances of winning the Senate race in Michigan this year, we have been skeptical. While our colleagues at the Cook Political Report have Democratic Sen. Carl Levin’s seat rated as a Toss-Up, the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call has had it rated as Democrat Favored.

Why Ken Buck Has the Inside Track in Colorado’s 4th District

March 3, 2014

For the second time, Republican Ken Buck has failed to become a United States senator from Colorado. But his most recent campaign was not in vain and helped make him the front-runner for a seat in the House.

Gardner Decision Shakes Up Colorado Senate Race

Feb. 26, 2014

In a surprise decision, Republican Rep. Cory Gardner has decided to jump into the Colorado Senate race against incumbent Democrat Mark Udall. While there are other Republicans running already, Gardner gives the GOP an upper-tier candidate in a race that has not been considered competitive until now. The news was first reported by the Denver Post.

Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway

Feb. 20, 2014

For Republicans in D.C., the Affordable Care Act is a black and white issue — you are either for it or against it. And they are all against it. But for many GOP legislators and candidates outside the Beltway, the politics of Obamacare is much more complicated.

Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress

Feb. 19, 2014

Two more members of Congress decided this would be their final term, but their exits don’t change the battle for the majority in the House. And contrary to an all-too-common media narrative, their departures do not signal an exodus from the House of Representatives.

How Candidates Share Without Coordinating With Outside Groups

Feb. 7, 2014

With each passing election cycle, both parties are figuring out new ways to skirt campaign finance laws.

Ratings Update: North Carolina’s 2nd District

Feb. 5, 2014

Everyone take a deep breath. Thanks to Clay Aiken, North Carolina’s 2nd District just became the most talked-about House race in the country. Unfortunately, the hype doesn’t match up with the reality.

Liberal County Commissioner Supports Conservative Challenger to Roberts

Feb. 5, 2014

Milton Wolf, a diagnostic radiologist, is running as the conservative alternative to Sen. Pat Roberts in the Republican primary in Kansas. But Wolf was just endorsed by Liberal county commissioner Jim Rice.

Ratings Change: California’s 52nd District

Feb. 4, 2014

Republican and Democratic operatives might be dreaming of spending the fall in San Diego as California’s 52nd District becomes entrenched as one of the most competitive races in the country this cycle. Democratic Rep. Scott Peters defeated GOP Rep. Brian Bilbray in 2012 but is facing a very serious challenge from former San Diego City Councilman Carl DeMaio.

Ratings Change: Kansas Governor

Feb. 4, 2014

Is Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback at risk of losing re-election in a state Mitt Romney carried with 60 percent? An automated poll showing the GOP governor behind, a Democratic challenger who raised $1 million, and a group of moderate Republicans threatening to oppose Brownback have some people calling Kansas a sleeper race for 2014. But how vulnerable is he really?

2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities

Jan. 28, 2014

If Democrats plan to win Tom Coburn’s seat in Oklahoma, they’ll be working against the partisanship of the state and over six decades of history.

Ratings Change: Nebraska’s 2nd District

Jan. 24, 2014

Nebraska Rep. Lee Terry has a knack for making races closer than they need to be, but it will be tough for the Republican congressman to lose to no one.

Ratings Change: West Virginia’s 3rd District

Jan. 24, 2014

Everybody knows “Nicky Joe,” but that doesn’t mean the Democratic congressman is immune to election defeat.

Ratings Change: Florida’s 10th District

Jan. 24, 2014

Democratic chances of winning Florida’s 10th District took a dramatic hit when their 2012 nominee and top choice decided to run for another office.

Washington Is a Matter of Life and Death to Congressional Candidate

Jan. 24, 2014

For congressional candidate Lee Zeldin, trips to Washington, D.C., are more than fundraisers and media interviews. They are a reminder of life and death.

Ratings Change: Minnesota’s 7th District

Jan. 23, 2014

Collin C. Peterson’s friends aren’t doing him any favors. When Reps. Jim Matheson, D-Utah, and Mike McIntyre, D-N.C., announced their retirements, it put two vulnerable Democratic seats into the GOP column. It also gives Republicans more time to focus on the DFL congressman from Minnesota.

Ratings Change: Texas’ 23rd District

Jan. 23, 2014

Republicans have a former congressman running to take back Texas’ 23rd District after just two years, but GOP enthusiasm about defeating Rep. Pete Gallego appears to be waning.

The Real Reasons Recruits Don't Run

Jan. 21, 2014

I hate candidate recruitment stories.

Ratings Change: Virginia Senate

Jan. 16, 2014

Republicans continue to expand the Senate map in their quest to win back the majority in 2014. With former Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie in the race, Democratic Sen. Mark Warner can no longer take his re-election race for granted. But Virginia is still a long way from the most competitive contests in the country.

Ratings Change: California’s 25th District

Jan. 16, 2014

After a flurry of surprise retirements, GOP Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon’s announcement was one of the worst-kept secrets of the last year. So even though the district is competitive, Republicans weren’t caught off guard and have two credible candidates already in the race.

To Special-Election Victors, a Short Stay in Congress

Jan. 14, 2014

Rep. Bill Owens’ retirement announcement brought back a flood of special-election memories. But one thing in particular stood out to me. For all the national attention that competitive special elections receive, winning candidates’ time in Washington is often relatively short.

Ratings Change: New York’s 21st District

Jan. 14, 2014

New York Rep. Bill Owens’ retirement gives Republicans another good opportunity to take over a Democratic seat, if they don’t get in their own way. Some GOP strategists may still have nightmares about the special election in this region more than four years ago, but the 21st District might be coming open at just the right time for Republicans to take it back.

Where in the World Is Joe Baca's Campaign?

Jan. 13, 2014

Last week, an article in the San Bernardino County Sun speculated that Democratic Rep. Gloria Negrete McLeod may run for county supervisor instead of seeking another congressional term, or may not run for re-election at all. If true, this could help House Democrats clear up one of their bigger headaches of the 2014 cycle.

Ratings Change: North Carolina's 7th District

Jan. 8, 2014

The House handicapping whiplash continues. Just days after Rep. Jim Gerlach, R-Pa., announced his retirement and gave Democrats an opportunity to win his 6th District seat, Rep. Mike McIntyre, D-N.C., announced his retirement, moving his 7th District from Pure Tossup to Safe Republican.

Ratings Update: New York’s 4th District

Jan. 8, 2014

Citing her battle with lung cancer, Rep. Carolyn McCarthy, D-N.Y., announced her retirement on Wednesday. The congresswoman leaves behind a 4th District that Barack Obama won with 56 percent in 2012 and 2008, and John Kerry won in 2004, 53 percent to 46 percent.

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