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Nathan L. Gonzales


Nathan L. Gonzales is political editor of The Rothenberg Political Report, a nonpartisan political newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate and gubernatorial campaigns, and presidential politics. He has been with the Report for over nine years and is also a contributing writer for Roll Call, the Capitol Hill newspaper.

Since 2002, Nathan has worked as an off-air consultant for ABC NEWS on their Election Night Decision Desk. Previously, he worked for and as associate producer for CNN’s “Capital Gang.”

His quotes have appeared in the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal and USA Today, as well as numerous state and regional newspapers all across the country. Nathan has also appeared on CNN, Fox News Channel, and other local network affiliates.

Nathan, an Oregon native, holds a M.A. from the George Washington University (Washington, D.C.), a B.A. from Vanguard University (Costa Mesa, Calif.), and has interned in the White House Press Office. He is married with two children and lives in Washington, D.C.

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Stories by Nathan L. Gonzales:

Ratings Change: Kansas Governor

Feb. 4, 2014

Is Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback at risk of losing re-election in a state Mitt Romney carried with 60 percent? An automated poll showing the GOP governor behind, a Democratic challenger who raised $1 million, and a group of moderate Republicans threatening to oppose Brownback have some people calling Kansas a sleeper race for 2014. But how vulnerable is he really?

2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities

Jan. 28, 2014

If Democrats plan to win Tom Coburn’s seat in Oklahoma, they’ll be working against the partisanship of the state and over six decades of history.

Ratings Change: Nebraska’s 2nd District

Jan. 24, 2014

Nebraska Rep. Lee Terry has a knack for making races closer than they need to be, but it will be tough for the Republican congressman to lose to no one.

Ratings Change: West Virginia’s 3rd District

Jan. 24, 2014

Everybody knows “Nicky Joe,” but that doesn’t mean the Democratic congressman is immune to election defeat.

Washington Is a Matter of Life and Death to Congressional Candidate

Jan. 24, 2014

For congressional candidate Lee Zeldin, trips to Washington, D.C., are more than fundraisers and media interviews. They are a reminder of life and death.

Ratings Change: Florida’s 10th District

Jan. 24, 2014

Democratic chances of winning Florida’s 10th District took a dramatic hit when their 2012 nominee and top choice decided to run for another office.

Ratings Change: Minnesota’s 7th District

Jan. 23, 2014

Collin C. Peterson’s friends aren’t doing him any favors. When Reps. Jim Matheson, D-Utah, and Mike McIntyre, D-N.C., announced their retirements, it put two vulnerable Democratic seats into the GOP column. It also gives Republicans more time to focus on the DFL congressman from Minnesota.

Ratings Change: Texas’ 23rd District

Jan. 23, 2014

Republicans have a former congressman running to take back Texas’ 23rd District after just two years, but GOP enthusiasm about defeating Rep. Pete Gallego appears to be waning.

The Real Reasons Recruits Don't Run

Jan. 21, 2014

I hate candidate recruitment stories.

Ratings Change: Virginia Senate

Jan. 16, 2014

Republicans continue to expand the Senate map in their quest to win back the majority in 2014. With former Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie in the race, Democratic Sen. Mark Warner can no longer take his re-election race for granted. But Virginia is still a long way from the most competitive contests in the country.

Ratings Change: California’s 25th District

Jan. 16, 2014

After a flurry of surprise retirements, GOP Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon’s announcement was one of the worst-kept secrets of the last year. So even though the district is competitive, Republicans weren’t caught off guard and have two credible candidates already in the race.

To Special-Election Victors, a Short Stay in Congress

Jan. 14, 2014

Rep. Bill Owens’ retirement announcement brought back a flood of special-election memories. But one thing in particular stood out to me. For all the national attention that competitive special elections receive, winning candidates’ time in Washington is often relatively short.

Ratings Change: New York’s 21st District

Jan. 14, 2014

New York Rep. Bill Owens’ retirement gives Republicans another good opportunity to take over a Democratic seat, if they don’t get in their own way. Some GOP strategists may still have nightmares about the special election in this region more than four years ago, but the 21st District might be coming open at just the right time for Republicans to take it back.

Where in the World Is Joe Baca's Campaign?

Jan. 13, 2014

Last week, an article in the San Bernardino County Sun speculated that Democratic Rep. Gloria Negrete McLeod may run for county supervisor instead of seeking another congressional term, or may not run for re-election at all. If true, this could help House Democrats clear up one of their bigger headaches of the 2014 cycle.

Ratings Change: North Carolina's 7th District

Jan. 8, 2014

The House handicapping whiplash continues. Just days after Rep. Jim Gerlach, R-Pa., announced his retirement and gave Democrats an opportunity to win his 6th District seat, Rep. Mike McIntyre, D-N.C., announced his retirement, moving his 7th District from Pure Tossup to Safe Republican.

Ratings Update: New York’s 4th District

Jan. 8, 2014

Citing her battle with lung cancer, Rep. Carolyn McCarthy, D-N.Y., announced her retirement on Wednesday. The congresswoman leaves behind a 4th District that Barack Obama won with 56 percent in 2012 and 2008, and John Kerry won in 2004, 53 percent to 46 percent.

Pay No Attention to That Title of Speaker in Front of My Name

Jan. 8, 2014

As speaker of the state House, Thom Tillis is one of the most powerful politicians in North Carolina. But you wouldn’t know it from the Republican’s first ad in the U.S. Senate race.

Oldest and Youngest Congressional Candidates of the Cycle

Jan. 8, 2014

When it comes to running for Congress, age ain’t nothin’ but a number.

Ratings Change: Pennsylvania’s 6th District

Jan. 6, 2014

When it comes to open seat opportunities, Democrats are being handed all the right seats, but they might be coming at the wrong time.

All GOP Primaries Are Not Created Equal

Jan. 3, 2014

Reporters can be lazy. I know this is a shock for many of you, but I think some of the media coverage of Republican Senate primaries has been somewhat shallow.

Who Won the Democratic and Republican Gift Exchange?

Dec. 24, 2013

The two parties aren’t exactly on the best of terms these days, but that didn’t stop Republicans and Democrats from exchanging gifts over the past year — even if they didn’t intend to.

The Democratic Escape Plan in Montana

Dec. 19, 2013

Most handicappers have believed for months that Republicans have a good chance to pick up a Montana Senate seat next year. But once again, Democrats have a plan that just may help them hold that seat. It’s a plan that worked in the past, but will it work once again?

Race Ratings Change: Kentucky Senate

Dec. 19, 2013

It’s no secret that Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell faces a troublesome re-election bid. The Republican incumbent is taking heat from the left and the right on a daily (or even hourly) basis.

Race Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate

Dec. 19, 2013

Democratic Sen. Tim Johnson’s open seat in South Dakota continues to be the most likely seat to change partisan hands next year. It doesn’t help that his party can’t agree on whether to support the only Democratic candidate in the race.

Race Ratings Change: Iowa's 3rd District

Dec. 18, 2013

Republican Rep. Tom Latham’s retirement announcement put another GOP seat into play for Democrats and capped off a wild day in congressional handicapping. He leaves behind the 3rd District of Iowa, which should turn into a good Democratic opportunity.

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