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Nathan L. Gonzales


Nathan L. Gonzales is political editor of The Rothenberg Political Report, a nonpartisan political newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate and gubernatorial campaigns, and presidential politics. He has been with the Report for over nine years and is also a contributing writer for Roll Call, the Capitol Hill newspaper.

Since 2002, Nathan has worked as an off-air consultant for ABC NEWS on their Election Night Decision Desk. Previously, he worked for CNN.com and as associate producer for CNN’s “Capital Gang.”

His quotes have appeared in the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal and USA Today, as well as numerous state and regional newspapers all across the country. Nathan has also appeared on CNN, Fox News Channel, and other local network affiliates.

Nathan, an Oregon native, holds a M.A. from the George Washington University (Washington, D.C.), a B.A. from Vanguard University (Costa Mesa, Calif.), and has interned in the White House Press Office. He is married with two children and lives in Washington, D.C.

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Stories by Nathan L. Gonzales:

Ratings Change: Nevada Governor

Nov. 1, 2013

Sometimes political handicapping can be difficult — a life of agonizing over whether a race leans to one party or the other or is a genuine tossup. But there is one way to identify a “safe” race.

The Most Vulnerable Governor in the Country

Nov. 1, 2013

There is still a year until the midterm election, but Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett is in very serious jeopardy of losing re-election in 2014.

Ratings Change: New Hampshire Governor

Oct. 31, 2013

New Hampshire could have two competitive contests next year, but the gubernatorial race isn’t likely to be one of them.

Democrats Look for Mini-Wave in Arkansas in 2014

Oct. 21, 2013

Barack Obama received just 39 percent of the vote in Arkansas in the last presidential race, but that’s not stopping Democratic optimism in the Razorback State in 2014.

From Family Tragedy to Congress Is a Difficult Trail

Oct. 21, 2013

In 2007, William Petit survived a brutal home invasion in which his wife and two daughters were killed. Last year, Amar Kaleka’s father was killed in the shooting at a Sikh temple in Wisconsin. Now, both men are seriously considering running for office.

With Real Candidate, Dem Chances Improve in Michigan’s 7th District

Oct. 17, 2013

Democrats failed to get a top-tier candidate against Rep. Tim Walberg, R-Mich., in 2012, and the congressman won re-election with 53 percent. This time around, Democrats are likely to nominate a spunky former legislator and make the 7th District a top target in 2014.

Can John Lewis Break Democrats’ Losing Streak in Montana?

Oct. 11, 2013

While Democrats have controlled both Montana Senate seats since Jon Tester’s initial victory in 2006, and the party has had no trouble winning the governorship, the state’s at-large House district has been much more elusive. John Lewis hopes to break the streak.

Race Ratings Change: Young’s Retirement Creates More Competitive Contest

Oct. 9, 2013

For those of us who follow congressional races for a living, Rep. C.W. Bill Young retirement rumors had become a running joke.

Pennsylvania House District Falls Out of Competitive Ranks for Now

Oct. 9, 2013

It only took three years for Pennsylvania’s 12th District to go from a safe Democratic seat to a safe Republican seat.

Walorski Looks Safer in Indiana House District

Oct. 8, 2013

In 2012, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney won Indiana’s 2nd District with 56 percent as his party’s nominee for president. Republican Jackie Walorski won the 2nd District House race with 49 percent.

Race Ratings Change: GOP Chances Improve in California's 52nd

Oct. 7, 2013

There aren’t many congressional races where a challenger is running ahead of an incumbent in the polls more than a year and a half before Election Day, but that’s the situation in California’s 52nd District.

Republicans More Optimistic About New York’s 1st District

Oct. 4, 2013

Republicans don’t yet have the candidate they want in New York’s 1st District against Democratic Rep. Timothy H. Bishop. But a couple close contests and an ongoing investigation is giving the GOP hope of winning the seat next year.

Witnesses Describe Chaotic Scene

Oct. 3, 2013

Several eyewitnesses of Thursday’s car chase and shooting at the Capitol described a chaotic scene as Capitol Police officers attempted to get a female suspect to exit her car — she refused and they opened fire with service weapons as she sped away.

Surprise! Christie Looks Strong for Re-Election in New Jersey

Oct. 2, 2013

Gov. Chris Christie has had a significant advantage for months. But the Democratic lean of the Garden State, and the potential that his good standing would wane after Superstorm Sandy, gave us some pause in the certainty of the governor’s re-election.

Ratings Change in 3 Ohio House Races

Oct. 2, 2013

Every four years, Ohio revels in the spotlight of the battle for the presidency. But, after the last round of redistricting, the Buckeye State is slipping further into irrelevance in the fight for the House.

Marriage Equality and New York’s 19th District

Oct. 1, 2013

Last week, Democratic activist Sean Eldridge officially announced his run in New York’s 19th District against GOP Rep. Chris Gibson.

Tennant Not a Game Changer Yet for West Virginia Democrats

Sept. 26, 2013

A few weeks ago, Democrats didn’t even have a warm body in the West Virginia Senate race. So getting Secretary of State Natalie Tennant to run for the Senate was quite a catch.

The Fight Over Health Care, Urinating and Other Bodily Functions

Sept. 25, 2013

On Tuesday morning, former Democratic National Committee Communications Director Brad Woodhouse passed around Eugene Robinson’s Washington Post column with the subject line, “Peeing in their pants.”

Republicans Win Belated Legal Battles, but Elections Can’t Be Undone

Sept. 24, 2013

You can’t rewrite history, but Republicans probably wish you could.

5 Things Winning Candidates Say

Sept. 24, 2013

After the overwhelming response to “6 Things Losing Candidates Say” and its successor, “4 More Things Losing Candidates Say (Readers’ Edition),” I decided to try to turn it around and point out some common themes from winning candidates.

Family Politics: When Water Is Thicker Than Blood

Sept. 23, 2013

The relationship between parents and children can be complicated, particularly when both are politicians.

House Strategists Continue Search for 2014 Candidates

Sept. 20, 2013

My colleague Kyle Trygstad nearly declared the end to the Senate recruitment season recently, but House strategists on both sides of the aisle still have their work cut out for them.

Democrats Ready to Land Recruit in Elusive California District

Sept. 18, 2013

It’s no secret Democrats whiffed at a huge opportunity in California’s 21st District last cycle. And while it’s taken them awhile to get their footing, it looks like they have found a candidate that could run a competitive race that matches the competitive district.

Is Dan Benishek Waffling on Term Limits?

Sept. 11, 2013

When Rep. Dan Benishek, R-Mich., first ran for office, he was a strong proponent of term limits. But now, the two-term Republican congressman’s stance is much less clear.

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