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Nathan L. Gonzales


Nathan L. Gonzales is political editor of The Rothenberg Political Report, a nonpartisan political newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate and gubernatorial campaigns, and presidential politics. He has been with the Report for over nine years and is also a contributing writer for Roll Call, the Capitol Hill newspaper.

Since 2002, Nathan has worked as an off-air consultant for ABC NEWS on their Election Night Decision Desk. Previously, he worked for and as associate producer for CNN’s “Capital Gang.”

His quotes have appeared in the New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal and USA Today, as well as numerous state and regional newspapers all across the country. Nathan has also appeared on CNN, Fox News Channel, and other local network affiliates.

Nathan, an Oregon native, holds a M.A. from the George Washington University (Washington, D.C.), a B.A. from Vanguard University (Costa Mesa, Calif.), and has interned in the White House Press Office. He is married with two children and lives in Washington, D.C.

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Stories by Nathan L. Gonzales:

Ratings Change: Massachusetts 6th District

April 16, 2014

Massachusetts voters havent sent a Republican to the U.S. House of Representatives from any district in nearly 20 years. Republican Richard Tisei nearly broke that streak in 2012 and is challenging Rep. John F. Tierney, D-Mass., once again in 2014.

Ratings Change: Minnesotas 2nd District

April 15, 2014

Rep. John Kline, R-Minn., was re-elected in 2012 with less than 55 percent in a district that Barack Obama won twice, making him an initial Democratic target.

Ratings Change: New Yorks 18th District

April 15, 2014

By the numbers, New Yorks 18th District isnt solid-blue Democratic territory. But at this stage of the cycle, GOP optimism about defeating Democratic Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney is very low. And that lack of enthusiasm could indicate that former Rep. Nan Hayworth, a Republican, wont get much financial support from outside groups for the stretch run this fall.

The War of Obamacare Anecdotes in the 2014 Elections

April 14, 2014

A couple months ago on C-SPANs Washington Journal, I said that I thought the 2014 elections would be driven by anecdotes related to the Affordable Care Act. I think a pair of ads in two of the most competitive Senate races in the country could be a pretty accurate roadmap for the debate that is coming over the next six months.

Democratic Senate Prospects and the New Black Voter

April 11, 2014

Democrats plan to turn out thousands of African-American voters this fall, in an effort to hold the Senate majority. The challenge is that some of them arent yet registered to vote.

GOP Congressman Skips Incumbent Label on California Ballot

April 7, 2014

California Republican David Valadao is running for re-election to the 21st District but you wouldnt know hes the incumbent from his ballot designation.

Why Republicans Have Trouble Electing Women to Congress

April 3, 2014

Fewer Republican women are running for Congress in 2014, compared to last cycle. Thats a fact. But what it means or whether it says anything at all about the GOP is entirely a different matter.

Ratings Change: Ohios 6th District

March 31, 2014

Ohio Republican Bill Johnson is an unassuming House Member who was elected in the GOP wave of 2010. His 53 percent re-election total has Democrats believing that a conservative Democrat would have a fighting chance against Johnson in the Republican-leaning 6th District.

Ratings Change: West Virginias 3rd District

March 31, 2014

Rep. Nick J. Rahall II, D-W.Va., has been elected and re-elected to Congress 19 times to his southern West Virginia seat.

Ratings Change: Michigans 8th District

March 28, 2014

These Republican retirements must be driving Democratic strategists crazy. Some tantalizing districts have come open as formidable Republican incumbents have announced their retirements, but the midterm election environment is turning out to be very tough terrain for Democrats. And that makes it difficult for Democrats to take over those districts, which they certainly would have won in 2006 and 2008 (and possibly in 2012, as well), had they been open seats at that time.

Memo to Democrats: Running Toward Barack Obama Might Work

March 19, 2014

Should vulnerable Democratic incumbents in Republican-leaning districts run from President Barack Obama? The Washington Posts Chris Cillizza did a good job of explaining the futility of the strategy in his Tuesday post, Memo to Democrats: Running from Barack Obama Wont Work.

Ratings Change: Colorado Senate

March 18, 2014

Colorado Democratic Sen. Mark Udall never had intimidating poll numbers this cycle, but uncertainty about the GOP primary raised questions about the seriousness of the Republican threat to him. But all that changed when Republican Rep. Cory Gardner decided to run for the Senate in Colorado.

Why Florida's 13th District Special Election Is Still a Tossup

March 10, 2014

After almost five months and more than $9 million in campaign spending, neither Democrat Alex Sink nor Republican David Jolly has a clear upper-hand in the final hours before Tuesdays special election in Floridas 13th District.

Democrats Have Primaries, Too

March 5, 2014

Every six minutes, some reporter in the world is writing about a Republican primary. Thats not to say that GOP primaries dont matter because sometimes they do but there are a handful of Democratic House primaries that could have general election ramifications as well.

Why Republican Candidates Will Run From .GOP Address

March 5, 2014

A Republican group recently boasted about Republicans becoming the only political party in history to run a Web ending.

Ratings Change: Illinois Governor

March 4, 2014

Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn of Illinois has been a political survivor, but the incumbent is facing his toughest race yet.

Ratings Change: Michigan Senate

March 4, 2014

When it comes to Republican chances of winning the Senate race in Michigan this year, we have been skeptical. While our colleagues at the Cook Political Report have Democratic Sen. Carl Levins seat rated as a Toss-Up, the Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call has had it rated as Democrat Favored.

Why Ken Buck Has the Inside Track in Colorados 4th District

March 3, 2014

For the second time, Republican Ken Buck has failed to become a United States senator from Colorado. But his most recent campaign was not in vain and helped make him the front-runner for a seat in the House.

Gardner Decision Shakes Up Colorado Senate Race

Feb. 26, 2014

In a surprise decision, Republican Rep. Cory Gardner has decided to jump into the Colorado Senate race against incumbent Democrat Mark Udall. While there are other Republicans running already, Gardner gives the GOP an upper-tier candidate in a race that has not been considered competitive until now. The news was first reported by the Denver Post.

Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway

Feb. 20, 2014

For Republicans in D.C., the Affordable Care Act is a black and white issue you are either for it or against it. And they are all against it. But for many GOP legislators and candidates outside the Beltway, the politics of Obamacare is much more complicated.

Please Dont Call It an Exodus From Congress

Feb. 19, 2014

Two more members of Congress decided this would be their final term, but their exits dont change the battle for the majority in the House. And contrary to an all-too-common media narrative, their departures do not signal an exodus from the House of Representatives.

How Candidates Share Without Coordinating With Outside Groups

Feb. 7, 2014

With each passing election cycle, both parties are figuring out new ways to skirt campaign finance laws.

Liberal County Commissioner Supports Conservative Challenger to Roberts

Feb. 5, 2014

Milton Wolf, a diagnostic radiologist, is running as the conservative alternative to Sen. Pat Roberts in the Republican primary in Kansas. But Wolf was just endorsed by Liberal county commissioner Jim Rice.

Ratings Update: North Carolinas 2nd District

Feb. 5, 2014

Everyone take a deep breath. Thanks to Clay Aiken, North Carolinas 2nd District just became the most talked-about House race in the country. Unfortunately, the hype doesnt match up with the reality.

Ratings Change: Californias 52nd District

Feb. 4, 2014

Republican and Democratic operatives might be dreaming of spending the fall in San Diego as Californias 52nd District becomes entrenched as one of the most competitive races in the country this cycle. Democratic Rep. Scott Peters defeated GOP Rep. Brian Bilbray in 2012 but is facing a very serious challenge from former San Diego City Councilman Carl DeMaio.

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