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CQ Politics rates this race as "Safe," meaning the incumbent party is virtually certain to win the seat.
District Profile from Politics in America
Taking in suburbs of Pittsburgh on three sides of the city, the socially conservative 18th moves east from Washington County through parts of southern Allegheny County into Westmoreland County. Access to major waterways made the first half of the 20th century prosperous for parts of the district, which was once a prodigious steel producer. Now, many areas outside the Pittsburgh suburbs, especially in southwestern Washington and southeastern Westmoreland, are struggling economically.
More than half of the 18th's population lives in Allegheny County, which is dominated by Pittsburgh, located in the 14th District. The 18th's share of the suburbs includes well-off areas in southwestern Allegheny such as Upper St. Clair and Mount Lebanon, as well as middle- and working-class Democratic enclaves such as blue-collar Carnegie and Dormont, which are just southwest of Pittsburgh.
The district's universities and hospitals have lured some technology companies to the area, as has the 18th's high percentage of residents with a college degree (33 percent). In the district's northwest, thousands of area jobs are provided by Pittsburgh International Airport, and the new headquarters for Dick's Sporting Goods provides hundreds more. The airport has recovered from years of job cuts and flight volume decreases by US Airways; Southwest Airlines and AirTran also operated out of Pittsburgh. Economic downturns have forced layoffs in the region's health care sector.
The 18th includes most of Westmoreland County, which is a former Democratic bastion that has moved to the right, supporting Republican John McCain by nearly 17 percentage points in the 2008 presidential election. Overall, McCain captured 55 percent of the 18th's vote in 2008.
Health care, technology, manufacturing, steel
Bethel Park, 32,313; Monroeville (pt.), 23,710
Andy Warhol is buried in Bethel Park; the Meadowcroft Village at the Museum of Rural Life, near Avella in Washington County, preserves the history of mid-19th-century rural life in western Pennsylvania.
|2010||general||Tim Murphy (R)||161,888||67.3%|
|Dan Connolly (D)||78,558||32.7%|
|2008||general||Tim Murphy (R)||213,349||64.1%|
|Steve O'Donnell (D)||119,661||35.9%|
|2006||general||Tim Murphy (R)||144,632||57.8%|
|Chad Kluko (D)||105,419||42.2%|
|2004||general||Tim Murphy (R)||197,894||62.8%|
|Mark Boles (D)||117,420||37.2%|
|2002||general||Tim Murphy (R)||119,885||60.1%|
|Jack Machek (D)||79,451||39.9%|
|2008||Barack Obama: 44%||John McCain: 55%|
|2004||John Kerry: 45%||George W. Bush: 54%|
|2000||Al Gore: 46%||George W. Bush: 51%|