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CQ Politics rates this race as "Safe," meaning the incumbent party is virtually certain to win the seat.
District Profile from Politics in America
The 18th takes in large portions of southern and central Westchester County before hopping the Hudson River to pick up most of New City and Congers and all of Haverstraw in Rockland County. Mostly white-collar, the district is home to wealthy, educated suburbanites employed in health care, higher education and technology sectors, in Westchester County or via an easy commute into Manhattan or Connecticut.
The district includes a mix of residential and commercial territory in northern and central Yonkers, which has seen recent downtown revitalization. Much of the 18th's portion of Yonkers is middle class but it also includes a few wealthier neighborhoods such as Crestwood. The 18th also includes Ossining, site of Sing Sing prison -- its location north of the city on the Hudson River led New Yorkers to refer to prison-bound criminals as being "sent up the river" -- and many residents are advocating the transfer of prisoners upstate and redevelopment of the prime real estate into condominiums and shops.
The 18th also has working-class areas, such as parts of Sleepy Hollow, Port Chester and growing White Plains and New Rochelle. White Plains is home to Westchester County's largest retail hub and boasts the City Center complex and Renaissance Square hotel, shopping, and residential buildings. Both White Plains and New Rochelle are home to several colleges. The 18th hosts headquarters for PepsiCo in Purchase and defense contractor ITT in White Plains.
Some areas in Westchester County have been friendly to Republican candidates, but the working-class communities, coupled with some affluent Democratic areas, are more than enough to offset the GOP base. For many years, the district has had a sizable Jewish population, but the Hispanic population has boomed, mainly in Yonkers. Barack Obama carried the 18th overall with 62 percent of its vote in 2008.
Health care, higher education, retail
Yonkers (pt.), 107,637; New Rochelle, 77,062; White Plains, 56,853
North Tarrytown was renamed Sleepy Hollow in honor of the Washington Irving story set there.
|2010||general||Nita Lowey (D)||104,836||63.4%|
|Jim Russell (R)||60,513||36.6%|
|2008||general||Nita Lowey (D, WFM)||174,791||68.5%|
|Jim Russell (R, C)||80,498||31.5%|
|2006||general||Nita Lowey (D, WFM)||124,256||70.7%|
|Richard Hoffman (R, C)||51,450||29.3%|
|2004||general||Nita Lowey (D, INDC, WFM)||170,715||69.8%|
|Richard Hoffman (R)||73,975||30.2%|
|2002||general||Nita Lowey (D, WFM)||98,957||92%|
|Michael Reynolds (RTL)||8,558||8%|
|2008||Barack Obama: 62%||John McCain: 38%|
|2004||John Kerry: 57%||George W. Bush: 42%|
|2000||Al Gore: 59%||George W. Bush: 38%|