Feb. 13, 2016 SIGN IN | REGISTER

Michigan - 10th District

Incumbent -- Candice S. Miller (R) ; Running for re-election

Safe Republican
Race Ratings Key

CQ Politics rates this race as "Safe," meaning the incumbent party is virtually certain to win the seat.


District Information

District Profile from Politics in America

Stretching from Detroit's northern suburbs in Macomb County to the tip of Michigan's "Thumb," the 10th combines suburban, lakefront and rural communities. Like many parts of Michigan, the district has endured sustained high unemployment rates for several years. Unlike the state as a whole, however, the 10th has experienced modest population growth since 2000.

Macomb, where slightly more than half of the 10th's population resides, retains a traditionally blue-collar "Reagan Democrat" feel despite growth in suburbs such as Harrison Township, Shelby and Sterling Heights (shared with the 12th). Macomb has established its statewide bellwether status: in the 2008 presidential election, the county backed Democrat Barack Obama despite supporting Republican George W. Bush four years earlier -- overall, Obama lost by fewer than 6,000 votes in the 10th -- and Republican Rick Snyder won the county in the 2010 gubernatorial race.

Lapeer County, northwest of Macomb, has become a landing spot for upwardly mobile residents drifting farther away from urban centers in Flint (to the west) and Detroit (to the south). Northeast of Macomb is St. Clair County, a politically competitive region where roughly one-fourth of district residents live. St. Clair's Port Huron, a source of blue-collar Democratic votes, is the U.S. terminus of the Blue Water bridges, which cross into Ontario, Canada. Water-quality issues are important to local residents along Lake Huron and near other bays and rivers, and many small businesses rely on the tourism industry.

Elsewhere in the 10th, rural communities depend on fruit, soybeans, corn and other crops. In particular, the fertile soil of the Thumb is known for its navy bean fields. Huron and Sanilac counties are leaders in Michigan dairy production.

Major Industry

Auto manufacturing, agriculture, recreation


Sterling Heights (pt.), 90,280; Shelby, 73,804; Port Huron, 30,184


The U.S. Senate's famous navy bean soup uses only Michigan navy beans.




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