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CQ Politics rates this race as "Safe," meaning the incumbent party is virtually certain to win the seat.
District Profile from Politics in America
The 11th, one of the state's younger and more racially diverse districts, ranges from Tampa's urban center and part of Bradenton across the bay to south St. Petersburg. The Tampa area's service and technology sectors helped make it the commercial, industrial and financial hub of Florida's west coast, and its skyline grew significantly during the last decade.
After nearly a decade of rapid growth in the 2000s, a nationwide economic downturn hit the area hard. Unemployment rates have begun to rebound, and some new construction projects are under way in Tampa. Although the city's airport and seaport make it a major shipping and transit hub, the hospitality industry centered around the major cruise lines hosted at the port depends on a high volume of visitors. The University of South Florida is one of the state's largest schools and still an economic engine for the city.
Tampa has a rich history as "Cigar City," one of the nation's biggest producers of cigars, and the Tampa Bay History Center in the Channel District has a permanent exhibit on the city's cigar industry -- at its height, Tampa produced more than 400 million cigars annually. The influence of Cuban and Spanish culture is pronounced in Ybor City, a downtown Tampa neighborhood, and its success at reinventing itself as a nighttime hot spot has given the area new life.
Blacks and Hispanics make up more than half the population, with heavy concentrations of blacks in south St. Petersburg, east Tampa and parts of Bradenton, and Hispanics in west Tampa and the Egypt Lake-Leto and Town 'n' Country areas just northwest of the city. Democrats outnumber Republicans more than two to one in the 11th, where Barack Obama took 66 percent of the district's 2008 presidential vote.
Service, health care, finance, tourism
MacDill Air Force Base, 4,290 military, 1,837 civilian (2009)
Tampa (pt.), 293,945; Town 'n' Country (unincorporated), 78,442; St. Petersburg (pt.), 65,724; University (unincorporated), 41,163
The Sunshine Skyway Bridge is the world's longest cable-stayed concrete bridge.
|2010||general||Kathy Castor (D)||91,328||59.6%|
|Mike Prendergast (R)||61,817||40.4%|
|2008||general||Kathy Castor (D)||184,106||71.7%|
|Eddie Adams (R)||72,825||28.3%|
|2006||general||Kathy Castor (D)||97,470||69.6%|
|Eddie Adams (R)||42,454||30.3%|
|2004||general||Jim Davis (D)||191,780||85.8%|
|Robert Johnson (LIBERT)||31,579||14.1%|
|Karl M. Butts (Write-In)||122||0.1%|
|2002||general||Jim Davis (D)||unopposed|
|2008||Barack Obama: 66%||John McCain: 33%|
|2004||John Kerry: 60%||George W. Bush: 40%|
|2000||Al Gore: 59%||George W. Bush: 38%|