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CQ Politics rates this race as "Safe," meaning the incumbent party is virtually certain to win the seat.
District Profile from Politics in America
Based in northwestern San Diego County and western Riverside County, the heavily residential 49th is home to many bedroom communities, including Vista and Oceanside.
While some residents work in the district, others commute to jobs in San Diego (a sliver of which falls in the 49th) or, to a lesser extent, Orange County. The massive Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base, which is now powered partially from a large solar energy field on base, sits on the largest undeveloped portion of coast in Southern California, but the district's economy relies less on military contracts than its San Diego or Orange County neighbors. In northeast San Diego County, Rancho Bernardo hosts manufacturing and defense employers, including Hewlett-Packard and Northrop Grumman. Visitors to Oceanside and the beaches along the coast also boost the local economy.
Most residents live in San Diego County, but more than a decade of prodigious growth in Riverside County established tourism and retail bases. Economic downturns, however, have hurt those sectors. Old Town Temecula still welcomes tourists who visit the area's wineries, and the desert terrain of the Temecula Valley also has become known for balloon rides, skydiving and golf. The agricultural base in Riverside County has begun to contract. The Pechanga Resort and Casino near Temecula employs thousands and lures visitors to the area.
Some areas have large Hispanic populations; less than 50 percent of the district is white. The 49th supports Republicans, and John McCain took 53 percent of its 2008 presidential vote. Perris, with a large retirement community, is one of the few places in which Democrats hold an edge.
Medical devices, services, manufacturing, defense
Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base, Air Station and Naval Hospital, 46,242 military, 2,872 civilian (2010); Naval Weapons Station Seal Beach, Detachment Fallbrook, 140 military, 530 civilian (2011)
Oceanside, 167,086; Temecula (pt.), 96,780; Vista, 93,834; Perris, 68,386
Oceanside's Mission San Luis Rey de Francia, dedicated in 1798, has been restored to its original design.
|2010||general||Darrell Issa (R)||119,088||62.8%|
|Howard Katz (D)||59,714||31.5%|
|Dion Clark (AMI)||6,585||3.5%|
|Mike Paster (LIBERT)||4,290||2.3%|
|2008||general||Darrell Issa (R)||140,300||58.3%|
|Robert Hamilton (D)||90,138||37.4%|
|Lars Grossmith (LIBERT)||10,232||4.2%|
|2006||general||Darrell Issa (R)||98,831||63.3%|
|Jeeni Criscenzo (D)||52,227||33.4%|
|Lars Grossmith (LIBERT)||4,952||3.2%|
|2004||general||Darrell Issa (R)||141,658||62.6%|
|Mike Byron (D)||79,057||34.9%|
|Lars Grossman (LIBERT)||5,751||2.5%|
|2002||general||Louis Garcia (D)|
|Darrell Issa (R)||94,594||77.2%|
|Karl Dietrich (LIBERT)||26,891||22%|
|Michael P. Byron (Write-In)||1,012||0.8%|
|2008||Barack Obama: 45.1%||John McCain: 53%|
|2004||John Kerry: 36%||George W. Bush: 62%|
|2000||Al Gore: 38%||George W. Bush: 57%|