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CQ Politics rates this race as "Safe," meaning the incumbent party is virtually certain to win the seat.
District Profile from Politics in America
The 41st includes vast desert and mountain stretches and most of San Bernardino County, the nation's largest by area, although it is home to less than one-third of the county's residents. The western quarter of the 41st, where the district's Inland Empire, Victor Valley and Riverside County areas are located, contains the majority of its population. As the 41st moves east, development is difficult, as high desert, dry lakes and mountains dominate the landscape to the Arizona and Nevada borders. Local hospitals, government and the military are major employers.
The district starts in the San Jacinto Valley in a sliver of northwestern Riverside County -- which includes San Jacinto, Banning, Beaumont and Calimesa -- before crossing into San Bernardino County to pick up communities south of the San Bernardino Mountains. Redlands, Highland, Yucaipa and part of San Bernardino (shared with the 43rd) are here, and Highland's San Manuel Indian Reservation resort casino is a key employer.
The 41st has a large population of day laborers, many of whom are Hispanic immigrants. An expanded border patrol presence has led to increased deportation efforts in the Inland Empire region.
On the north side of the mountains are the growing Victor Valley cities of Hesperia and Apple Valley, communities that are attractive to Los Angeles and Orange county commuters. The local housing market remains volatile following widespread foreclosures.
The district gave John McCain 54 percent of its 2008 presidential vote and Republicans still enjoy an 11-point edge in voter registration, but growing Hispanic populations may change the political lean.
Service, manufacturing, military
Marine Corps Air Ground Combat Center, Twentynine Palms, 13,214 military, 1,239 civilian (2010)
Hesperia, 90,173; Apple Valley, 69,135; Redlands, 68,747; San Bernardino city (pt.), 61,534; Highland (pt.), 53,022
The Mojave National Preserve features the Devils Playground dunes.
|2010||general||Jerry Lewis (R)||127,857||63.2%|
|Pat Meagher (D)||74,394||36.8%|
|2008||general||Jerry Lewis (R)||159,486||61.6%|
|Tim Prince (D)||99,214||38.4%|
|2006||general||Jerry Lewis (R)||109,761||66.9%|
|Louie Contreras (D)||54,235||33.1%|
|2004||general||Jerry Lewis (R)||181,605||83%|
|Peymon Mottahedek (LIBERT)||37,332||17%|
|2002||general||Jerry Lewis (R)||91,326||67.4%|
|Keith Johnson (D)||40,155||29.6%|
|Kevin Craig (LIBERT)||4,052||3%|
|2008||Barack Obama: 43.7%||John McCain: 54.2%|
|2004||John Kerry: 37%||George W. Bush: 62%|
|2000||Al Gore: 40%||George W. Bush: 54%|