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CQ Politics rates this race as "Safe," meaning the incumbent party is virtually certain to win the seat.
District Profile from Politics in America
The agriculture-dominated 21st is home to all of Tulare County and part of Fresno County, which vie each year for the title of top farm-goods-producing county in the nation. The 21st ranks first in the country in both orchard acreage and total number of milk cows. In addition to more than one-fifth of the city of Fresno, the district takes in some of the mountains and forests of the Sierra Nevada chain on its eastern edge.
Tulare County is the world's largest dairy-producing area and the nation's second-largest agricultural county. The county produces more than 250 agricultural goods, including oranges, grapes, nuts and cotton. But a large Land O'Lakes cheese processing plant in Tulare closed in 2010, and extended drought conditions can hurt production. Tulare's economy has been hit hard by high unemployment rates in recent years.
The city of Tulare hosts the annual World Ag Expo, the world's largest agricultural exposition, which draws an annual attendance of more than 100,000 people from more than 60 countries. Visalia is the site of a Provisions Food Company cheese manufacturing plant.
The 21st includes the eastern portion of Fresno, including Fresno Yosemite International Airport. The city also is home to a solar-powered Gap clothing distribution center and the Foster Farms turkey hatchery. Tourists are attracted to the district's location in the Sequoia Valley: The Giant Sequoia National Monument and the Sequoia National Forest are located east of Porterville and offer camping, hiking, kayaking or mountain biking either in the forest or in the nearby Sierra Nevada range.
The district's share of Fresno is the more conservative area of the city, and the rest of the 21st is reliably Republican. Republicans hold a solid edge in voter registration in the district's portion of Fresno County and in Tulare, and the district gave GOP candidate Meg Whitman 58 percent of its 2010 gubernatorial vote, her third-best showing in the state.
Agriculture, dairy, transportation, tourism
Visalia, 124,442; Fresno (pt.), 113,612; Clovis, 95,631; Tulare, 59,278; Porterville, 54,165
The Porterville High School marching band is said to be the oldest high school band in California.
|2010||general||Devin Nunes (R)||135,979||100%|
|2008||general||Devin Nunes (R)||143,498||68.4%|
|Larry Johnson (D)||66,317||31.6%|
|2006||general||Devin Nunes (R)||95,214||66.7%|
|Steven Haze (D)||42,718||29.9%|
|John Miller (GREEN)||4,729||3.3%|
|2004||general||Devin Nunes (R)||140,721||73.2%|
|Fred Davis (D)||51,594||26.8%|
|2002||general||Devin Nunes (R)||87,544||70.5%|
|David LaPere (D)||32,584||26.2%|
|Jonathan Richter (LIBERT)||4,070||3.3%|
|2008||Barack Obama: 42%||John McCain: 56.3%|
|2004||John Kerry: 34%||George W. Bush: 65%|
|2000||Al Gore: 37%||George W. Bush: 59%|