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CQ Politics rates this race as "Safe," meaning the incumbent party is virtually certain to win the seat.
District Profile from Politics in America
The 2nd spans the northwest corner of Arizona, but Republicans living in the western Phoenix suburbs to the southeast dominate its politics. Home to the vast majority of the 2nd's residents, this area takes in a corner of the city and suburbs such as rapidly growing Peoria and Surprise, most of Glendale and the retirement community of Sun City. Although the district is mostly white, its Hispanic population has grown rapidly.
A diverse economy here includes manufacturing jobs in the aerospace, electronics, communications and chemical industries. A Glendale-based Honeywell Aerospace division provides many of these jobs. Luke Air Force Base is the 2nd's largest employer and contributes more than $2 billion to the local economy annually. Successful zoning restrictions have kept the expanding metropolitan area from encroaching on the base nearly 20 miles west of downtown Phoenix. Currently a training center for F-16 pilots, the base is in line to host the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter training program once the Air Force phases out the F-16 fleet.
Most of the district's land is in Mohave County, where Lake Havasu City, Bullhead City and Kingman are located. The Democratic Party maintains some isolated areas of influence among American Indians in the northwest region, where younger, lower-income and larger minority populations live.
The 2nd also includes the Hopi reservation, an appendage separated from the surrounding Navajo reservation (located in the 1st). Redistricting following the 2000 census kept the tribes in different districts due to historical tensions between them. To reach the Hopi land in northeastern Arizona, the 2nd follows the Colorado River through the Grand Canyon, both sides of which are in the 1st.
Luke Air Force Base, 5,000 military, 1,500 civilian (2011)
Peoria, 154,065; Glendale (pt.), 151,014; Surprise, 117,517; Goodyear (pt.), 65,194; Lake Havasu City, 52,527; Phoenix (pt.), 48,418
The Hopi have used "dry farming" to grow crops in the rough terrain.
|2010||general||Trent Franks (R)||173,173||64.9%|
|John Thrasher (D)||82,891||31.1%|
|Powell Gammill (LIBERT)||10,820||4%|
|William Crum (WRI)||8|
|Mark Rankin (WRI)||2|
|2008||general||Trent Franks (R)||200,914||59.4%|
|John Thrasher (D)||125,611||37.2%|
|Powell Gammill (LIBERT)||7,882||2.3%|
|William Crum (GREEN)||3,616||1.1%|
|2006||general||Trent Franks (R)||135,150||58.6%|
|John Thrasher (D)||89,671||38.9%|
|Powell Gammill (LIBERT)||5,734||2.5%|
|2004||general||Trent Franks (R)||165,260||59.2%|
|Randy Camacho (D)||107,406||38.5%|
|Powell Gammill (LIBERT)||6,625||2.4%|
|2002||general||Trent Franks (R)||100,359||59.9%|
|Randy Camacho (D)||61,217||36.6%|
|Edward Carlson (LIBERT)||5,919||3.5%|
|2008||Barack Obama: 38%||John McCain: 61%|
|2004||John Kerry: 38%||George W. Bush: 61%|
|2000||Al Gore: 41%||George W. Bush: 56%|