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Rothenberg Archive

Revenge of the Old Fogies

While the decision makers at news organizations from the Public Broadcasting System to CNN and the three major networks scramble to appeal to younger viewers, often by skewing younger with their hosts and commentators, Republican and Democratic voters in Iowa and nationally have embraced a remarkably ďmatureĒ handful of top tier candidates.

Handicapping the GOP Race Past Iowa

Have we entered a new period in American politics, when establishment candidates on the GOP side donít win their partyís nomination? That is the question I posed in a June 4, 2015 column. It is still a relevant question.

It’s Official: Put a Fork in Kasich’s Candidacy

Feel free to believe that there is a glimmer of hope for Ohio Gov. John Kasichís bid for the Republican presidential nomination. If that gives you comfort or plays to your own preferences, be my guest. I certainly wouldnít want to make you uncomfortable.

Goldwater vs. McGovern in 2016?

The strangest election in our lifetime continues to get stranger.

Predicting the Future and Other Delusions

Barry Ritholtz, a financial planner and asset manager, writes a regular column in The Washington Postís business section. I read him religiously, and his last column of 2015, on financial prognosticators, offered important observations for anyone interested in politics, sports or Wall Street.

And the GOP Nominee Will Be...

RealClearPolitics political analyst Sean Trende is one of the clear-eyed, analytic observers of American politics, and I usually find myself nodding in agreement when I read his invariably thoughtful stuff.

Stu in Review: Dumb Stuff I Wrote This Year

When you write dozens of columns each year, as I have been doing for a long time (some people think far too long), you look back at some of them with embarrassment.

GOP's Brand In More Trouble Than Its Candidates

ďPolitical brands are important,Ē I wrote more than a year and a half ago in a lede that was much less interesting than the entire column. Now, though, I am wondering whether political party brands are so different from soap brands or over-the-counter medicine brands, which loyal consumers often stick with no matter what the competition is selling.

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards

It has been almost 20 years since I started writing a best/worst end of the year column. Since Iím committed to doing them until I finally get one right, here goes this yearís attempt.

Who Is the Second Most Vulnerable Senate Incumbent in 2016?

There is little doubt about the identity of the most vulnerable senator seeking re-election next year. Itís Illinois Republican Mark S. Kirk, who hopes to win a second term in a very Democratic state in a presidential year. His prospects are bleak.

Obama Still Channeling George W. Bush

It has been almost 16 months since I wrote about the comparative positions of President Barack Obama and former President George W. Bush as they approached their second midterm elections. Since then, the two presidents, and two administrations, have continued to resemble each other increasingly.

Speaking Style Says Volumes About GOP Race

In a race filled with plenty of fast-talking, quick-tongued hopefuls ó including Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and, at one point, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal ó Ben Carson stands out as very different, and not only because of his race, resume and life accomplishments.

Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama and Democrats Playing Defense

I say it repeatedly: Events matter. And for President Barack Obama, the terror attacks in Paris present a no-win political situation, at least until other, compelling news changes the subject.

Don't Get Too Caught Up in the Trump and Carson 'Panic'

The panic is palpable from the media and too many GOP ďinsiders.Ē

Hillary Clinton and the Two-Term Jinx

I hear it all the time: Voters want change after one party has held the White House for eight years, and thatís why only once over the past six decades has a party held the presidency for three consecutive terms. Tough luck, Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh

Though I took notice of Colorado Sen. Cory Gardnerís endorsement of Sen. Marco Rubio for president, I didnít immediately think about Gardner as a possible running mate for Rubio ó until a CQ Roll Call colleague dropped that pearl of wisdom in my lap.

Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination

Carly Fiorina is popular among Republicans, both nationally and in Iowa. And yet, when those same Republicans are asked to name their preferred candidate for president, they generally donít select her. Why?

Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances

Bobby Jindal and Ted Cruz continue to plug away in Iowa, far back from the front-runners. But both are well aware that if Ben Carson turns out to be little more than Herman Cain, a political outsider who briefly sat atop the 2012 field, each of them could have his own moment.

Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush

Itís still more than three months before the Iowa caucuses, but the next four weeks are crucial for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, who started with the kinds of political assets that led many to regard him as the front-runner in the GOP race.

What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?

I never expected Kentucky GOP Sen. Rand Paul would win his partyís nomination for president, but I did expect he would be a factor in the race. So far, he hasnít been one. (See my February column on his foreign policy challenges here.)

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