March 30, 2015 SIGN IN | REGISTER

Rothenberg Archive

Obama's Foreign Policy Impacts 2014 Elections — Really

No, I am not going to try to make the case that foreign policy will be at the forefront of this years elections, or that international issues are a high priority for most Americans. They arent.

How to Handicap a Campaign's Ground Game in 2014

This cycle, Democrats are counting heavily on registering new voters and turning out registered voters who otherwise dont bother to vote during midterm elections. Republicans are also putting more emphasis on voter contact programs.

Meet 3 Divergent House Candidates Worth Watching

While some observers of politics apparently are only interested in statistical models that predict electoral outcomes, I have always thought that candidates matter both during campaigns and, particularly, when the victorious arrive in Washington, D.C.

Senator Thad Cochran, Underdog?

Forget about Matt Bevins challenge to Sen. Mitch McConnell in the Kentucky Republican primary or Milton Wolfs bid to knock off Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts in that states GOP contest. The Senate primary to watch is Mississippis.

Democrats' Growing Problems With Independent Voters on the Senate Map

While the nations (and news medias) focus on Malaysian Airlines flight 370 gave Democrats a couple of weeks to catch their collective breath, the 2014 election cycle continues to look increasingly dangerous for President Barack Obama and his party.

Another Cycle, Another Poll Memo About Florida’s 2nd District

Democratic memos about the partys optimistic prospects in Floridas 2nd district never die. They simply fade away until the next election cycle, when a new one miraculously surfaces.

Why Polls Still Show Democrats With Higher Marks Than Republicans

Political brands are important. If a candidate or political party has a damaged political brand, its harder for them to sell themselves to voters. But sometimes a polls top lines can be deceiving, so you need to look a little below the surface to understand what is going on.

Bill Clinton's Real Impact on the Kentucky Senate Race

The national medias reaction to former President Bill Clintons recent trip to Kentucky to boost the Senate candidacy of Democratic Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes was predictable.

There's No Good Time for the GOP on Immigration

GOP leaders on Capitol Hill apparently have already decided to punt rather than push ahead with their own immigration proposal, but that hasnt stopped the chatter from the sidelines, especially from those who dont like the leaderships decision.

DCCC Is 2013 Fundraising Winner, but DNC Drops the Ball

A look at the end-of-the-year financial reports of the two House campaign committees, two Senate campaign committees and two national party committees makes it pretty clear which ones have something to crow about and which have some explaining to do.

For Democrats, It’s All About (Years) After November

Politics is often about keeping one eye on today and another eye on tomorrow. Thats especially true for Democrats, who should not be completely disheartened about their partys prospects.

You Can’t Make This Stuff Up — and It's Only January

Sometimes, its difficult to tell the difference between a real news story and something from The Onion.

The Christie Investigation: From Inquiry to Lynching?

The two key questions are obvious. What did New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie know, and when did he know it?

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

I wrote my first Dangerous Dozen open House seats column in this space 14 years ago, so I figured I might as well keep the streak going, though it isnt nearly as impressive as Joe DiMaggios 56-game hitting streak.

The Race Democrats Can't Afford to Lose

Its rare in politics that anything other than a presidential contest is viewed as a must win but the special election in Floridas 13th District falls into that category for Democrats.

Early TV Ads: Not New and Mostly a Waste of Money

By mid-December, more than $17.5 million had been spent on TV ads in just four Senate contests: in North Carolina ($8.3 million), Kentucky ($3.5 million), Arkansas ($3.4 million) and Louisiana ($2.3 million), according to a recent piece by Roll Calls Kyle Trygstad.

Is Arkansas Really the Land of Opportunity for Democrats?

When we think of political battlegrounds, states like Ohio and Florida come to mind. But every so often, a small state becomes a partisan political battleground.

Awards for the Best and Worst of Politics in 2013

Yes, folks, its time again for my end-of-the-year awards. Its been a weird year, but face it: Weird is the new normal in politics.

A Traditional Midterm Headache for Democrats

Democrats have had a nice run recently of interesting House recruits and new takeover opportunities resulting from open GOP seats. And yet, it probably wont matter.

Open Your Mind to the Possibility of Another Midterm Mess for Democrats

Democrats might want to consider opening their minds to the potential of another midterm nightmare.

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