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The @RollCallPols Blog

Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?

Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?
Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo

There are plenty of reasons to believe Jeb Bush, the former two-term governor of Florida, son of a former president and brother of a former president, cannot win the 2016 Republican nomination.

GOP Pollster: 'Transformational' Nominee Helps Blue State Senators

A prominent Republican pollster sounded warning bells about the shifting demographics of the American electorate at a breakfast with reporters Tuesday morning, saying his party must be more inclusive of minority voters if it wants to win the White House in 2016.

Bill Clinton Endorses Strickland in Ohio

Former President Bill Clinton made his first endorsement of the 2016 cycle Tuesday, backing former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland in his bid for Senate.

Tammy Duckworth Announces Illinois Senate Bid (Updated)

Tammy Duckworth Announces Illinois Senate Bid (Updated)

Illinois Rep. Tammy Duckworth announced Monday she will run for Senate, giving Democrats a top-tier candidate in a must-win seat in 2016.

DCCC to Hit Republicans on College Campuses

House Democrats will launch a series of attacks on Republicans over college affordability over the next two weeks, when members of Congress will fan out across the country for the Easter recess.

Titus Senate Bid Could Shake Up Nevada Races

Updated 9:38 p.m. | If Nevada’s lone Democratic House member decides to run for Senate, she could scramble the state’s Democratic field up and down the ballot.


Club For Growth Backs Boehner Ally's Primary Opponent

Club For Growth Backs Boehner Ally's Primary Opponent

The Club for Growth backed a primary challenge to longtime Rep. Mike Simpson, R-Idaho, in its first major endorsement of the cycle.

Democrats Start With Narrow Advantage in Nevada

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid’s planned retirement ensures Nevada will host a top-tier Senate race in 2016.

California: Baca Will Challenge Miller in 31st District

So much for that blood feud congressional race in California’s Inland Empire.

House Hopefuls Gasp for Airtime in Special Election

The five Democrats in the Massachusetts 5th District special election have a mutual adversary in next month’s primary: the Boston mayoral race.

Coats' Top Aide Enters Indiana Senate Contest

Eric Holcomb, a congressional staffer and former Indiana GOP chairman, announced a bid Thursday to succeed retiring Sen. Dan Coats, becoming the first Republican to enter what could be a crowded primary field.

Benishek to Seek Fourth Term, Break Term-Limit Pledge (Updated)

Michigan Rep. Dan Benishek said Tuesday he has decided to break a self-imposed term limit and run for re-election next year.

Coats Retirement Sparks Hoosier State Free-for-All

An open Senate seat in Indiana could lead to a GOP free-for-all in 2016, with nearly every Republican member of the Hoosier State’s congressional delegation showing interest.

It's Early: Why Pundits Shouldn't Overreact

The reviews are in after the first game of spring training: Hillary Rodham Clinton struck out. Or at best, she hit a slow roller to second base and was thrown out by a mile.

Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat

Former Illinois Rep. Bobby Schilling hasn’t closed the door on running in the special election to replace embattled Republican Rep. Aaron Schock, according to a knowledgeable GOP source.

Democrats' Florida Senate Hopes Could Cost House Seat

Democrats' Florida Senate Hopes Could Cost House Seat

A Senate recruitment victory for Democrats in Florida could, in turn, jeopardize the party’s quest for the House majority.

Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority

Smoke billowed out of Ted Kennedy’s living room fireplace as donors gathered in his D.C. home for a fundraiser, though the legendary senator was still on the Hill for votes.

Cruz's Liberty Speech: Why It's Happening Monday

LYNCHBURG, Va. — The night before Sen. Ted Cruz is expected to deliver a speech launching his 2016 presidential bid, the Texas Republican’s political operation sent a text message to supporters, telling them to pay attention.

Staff Decamp Vulnerable Democrat's Office Over Fundraising Concerns (Updated)

Staff Decamp Vulnerable Democrat's Office Over Fundraising Concerns (Updated)

One of the House’s most vulnerable members is shedding staff at a rapid clip, just months after he arrived in Congress.

Democrats' Maryland Senate Circus

CHESAPEAKE BEACH, Md. — When Barbara A. Mikulski announced her retirement last month, she instructed fellow Maryland Sen. Benjamin L. Cardin to brace himself.

With Horsford Out, Nevada Democrats Look Down Line (Updated)

Former Nevada Rep. Steven Horsford’s decision not to seek his old House seat next year has set off jockeying on the Democratic side for one of the party’s top pickup opportunities.

Why Primaries Aren't All Bad

Why Primaries Aren't All Bad

Primaries can be expensive and divisive, but treating them like the plague — as party spokesmen are prone to do early every cycle — distorts electoral reality.

DCCC, NRCC Raise More Than $5 Million in February

Both parties’ House campaign committees raised more than $5 million in February, the two organizations announced Friday.

DSCC Raises More Than NRSC in February

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee raised slightly more than its Republican counterpart in February, bringing in $4.3 million, according to figures the committee reported Friday.

NRSC Raised $3.8 Million in February

The National Republican Senatorial Committee raised $3.8 million in February, according to numbers provided first to CQ Roll Call.

So Long, Curtis

I had not spoken with Curtis Gans for the past couple of years, but his death on Sunday, at age 77, brought back a flood of memories.

Former Schumer Aide Expected to Join Clinton Camp

Brian Fallon, a former Capitol Hill aide, is expected to be named as a prominent spokesman for Hillary Rodham Clinton’s likely presidential campaign.

Schock Resignation Will Trigger Special Election in Illinois

A forthcoming special election to replace resigning Illinois Rep. Aaron Schock is unlikely to alter the partisan control of his Peoria-based 18th District.

EMILY's List Names VP of Independent Expenditures

EMILY’s List named Lucinda Guinn vice president of independent expenditures for the 2016 cycle, according to a release provided first to CQ Roll Call.

Potential Thune Challenger Bows Out

The son of a former senator who was considered one of Democrats’ best chances to challenge Sen. John Thune told CQ Roll Call he has no plans to run for political office in 2016.

The Fearsome Foursome: Bush, Paul, Walker, Rubio

A veritable bevy of Republican presidential hopefuls have already hired staff, wooed deep-pocketed contributors and made speeches in Iowa and New Hampshire, proving what we already know: The 2016 nomination preseason is well underway.

Wasserman Schultz Won't Run for Senate

Florida Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz will seek re-election to her House seat and will not run for Senate, she confirmed to Roll Call Tuesday in the halls of Congress.

Democrats Prep North Carolina Contingency Plan

National Democrats want former Sen. Kay Hagan to mount another bid for Senate in the Tar Heel State. But in case the former senator declines, party officials have started to key in on other potential recruits.

Webb Pitches Firefighters on Possible White House Bid

Webb Pitches Firefighters on Possible White House Bid

Former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb hasn’t been seen much since announcing late last year he was exploring a bid for president, but he told a ballroom full of firefighters Tuesday they may be seeing a lot more of him soon.

Ben Cardin Weighs in on Maryland Senate Race

Ben Cardin Weighs in on Maryland Senate Race

Sen. Benjamin L. Cardin, D-Md., pledged to remain “neutral” in the Democratic primary to succeed his retiring colleague, Sen. Barbara A. Mikulski.

Democrat Mulls Rematch in Michigan House Contest

Retired Army Maj. Gen. Jerry Cannon is mulling another bid against Rep. Dan Benishek, R-Mich., according to two sources with knowledge of the Democrat’s plans.

A House Republican Moves Closer to Middle

A House Republican Moves Closer to Middle

While some GOP lawmakers veer right for fear of primary threats, one vulnerable House Republican continues to inch closer to other end of his party’s spectrum for political survival.

Michigan Congresswoman Won't Run for Re-Election (Updated) (Video)

Updated 6:03 p.m. | Rep. Candice S. Miller, R-Mich., the sole female House committee chairman, will not seek a ninth term, she announced Thursday.

How a Tea Party Favorite May Influence Mississippi Race

How a Tea Party Favorite May Influence Mississippi Race

Mississippi state Sen. Chris McDaniel, the tea party firebrand who nearly ousted a Republican senator in a primary last year, has attempted to shape the state’s upcoming 1st District special election.

What the 'Big Ten' Tells Republicans They Need in 2016

We won’t know the 2016 Republican presidential nominee for more than a year, but we already know the 10 states — the electoral “Big Ten” — that will select the next occupant of the White House.

Joe Sestak Kicks Off Rematch With Pat Toomey

Joe Sestak Kicks Off Rematch With Pat Toomey

Former Pennsylvania Rep. Joe Sestak formally launched his long-expected challenge to Republican Sen. Patrick J. Toomey Wednesday, setting up a possible rematch in one of Democrats’ best pick-up opportunities.

Democrats Have Early Favorite House Pickup Opportunity

In one of the party’s best pickup opportunities this cycle, Democrats have zeroed in on second-time candidate Monica Vernon to win Iowa’s 1st District.

Russ Feingold, Joe Sestak and The Improbable Senate Race Rematch

Russ Feingold, Joe Sestak and The Improbable Senate Race Rematch

The Senate is filled with members who lost previous races. But Democrats Joe Sestak and Russ Feingold are trying to pull off a rare electoral feat: defeating the person who defeated them six years prior.

Top Democratic Campaign Staffers Chart 2016 Paths

With Democrats relegated to the minority in both chambers for the first time since 2006, the two top staffers at the party’s House and Senate campaign arms charted a path back to the majority during an EMILY’s List event Tuesday.

CPAC Campaign Boot Camp Trains GOP to Catch Up

CPAC Campaign Boot Camp Trains GOP to Catch Up

NATIONAL HARBOR, Md. — Amethyst Archer probably wasn’t the targeted audience for the campaign boot camp held on the eve of the Conservative Political Action Conference, but the presenters made it clear the right needs all the help it can get in 2016 and beyond.

Ex-House Candidate Will Take Top Role in Likely Clinton Campaign

Amanda Renteria, the former Capitol Hill aide who unsuccessfully ran for Congress in 2014, is poised to be named the national political director of Hillary Rodham Clinton’s likely presidential campaign, according to two sources with knowledge of the move.

Special Election Set for Mississippi Congressman's District (Updated)

Updated 4:45 p.m. | A special election in Mississippi’s 1st District will take place on May 12, according to The Associated Press. The winner will succeed the late Rep. Alan Nunnelee, a Republican who died on Feb. 6 after a battle with brain cancer.

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