Connecticut: NRCC Poll Shows Andrew Roraback Up Over Elizabeth Esty

Republican House candidate Andrew Roraback led Elizabeth Esty in a recent poll. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

State Sen. Andrew Roraback (R) led former state Rep. Elizabeth Esty (D) by 6 points in Connecticut's 5th district, according to a National Republican Congressional Committee poll conducted earlier this week.

In a head-to-head matchup, Roraback had the support of 45 percent of respondents, while 39 percent backed Esty.

According to the poll, Esty's favorability ratings are underwater. Thirty-two percent had a positive impression of her, while 36 percent said they held a negative view. Roraback was rated favorably by 44 percent, while 25 percent said they had an unfavorable view.

The poll showed that President Barack Obama and Mitt Rommey were in a dead heat in the district, at 46 percent each. If this poll is accurate, it indicates a dramatic shift in the district since 2008. Four years ago, Obama carried the district by 14 points. Redistricting only marginally changed the makeup of the district.

The Esty camp released its own internal poll to the Hartford Courant. It showed her with a small lead.

The live interview survey was conducted by Adam Geller of National Research Inc. among 400 likely voters. The poll was taken Oct. 22-23 and the margin of error was 4.9 points.

This is an open-seat race to replace Rep. Christopher Murphy (D), who is running for the Senate.