Democrats Identify Vulnerable Members for 2018
DCCC names 19 incumbents to Frontline Program

New Hampshire Rep. Ann McLane Kuster, chairwoman of the DCCC’s Frontline Program, is herself a Frontline member heading into 2018. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee on Monday is naming 19 members to the Frontline Program for its most vulnerable incumbents in 2018.

The initial Frontline roster, obtained first by Roll Call, is about half freshman members. Eight members won in districts President Donald Trump carried last fall. And all of them, save for one, are National Republican Congressional Committee initial targets.

There’s No Rest for the Fundraising Weary
Vulnerable freshmen face high expectations for first quarter fundraising

Nevada Rep. Jacky Rosen, seen here with DCCC Chairman Ben Ray Luján, will be a top target for Republicans in 2018 and says she’ll be kicking off fundraising events in February. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Even before they’ve settled into their new lives on Capitol Hill, freshman House members from swing districts need to prepare for the fight to stay there. 

No member likes to talk about fundraising. Navigating the halls during the first month of the 115th Congress, new members stressed the importance of listening to the people who sent them to Washington. 

Democrat Schneider Unseats Dold in Illinois 10th District Rematch
The race was a tossup heading into Election Day

Democrat Brad Schneider of Illinois is set to return to Congress. (Tom WIlliams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Democratic former Rep. Brad Schneider is set to return to Congress, with The Associated Press projecting that he will his rematch against Republican Rep. Robert J. Dold in Illinois’ 10th District. 

Schneider led Dold 52 percent to 47 percent with 100 percent of precincts reporting.

How Many House Seats Will Democrats Pick Up? Watch These Districts
Certain district types may provide early clues

Democrats need to knock off Republicans who sit in seats President Barack Obama won, like Maine Rep. Bruce Poliquin, R-Maine, center, and Frank Guinta, R-N.H., right. Defeating Rep. Scott Tipton, R-Colo., would suggest more of a wave. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

Not all districts are created equal. They all count the same when adding for a majority, but victories in one type of district may portend a much better night for Democrats than in others. With just four days to go until Election Day, Democrats almost surely won’t gain the 30 seats needed for a House majority on Tuesday. But they will make some gains. Here’s where to watch for early clues as to just how big or small Democratic gains will be.

To achieve double-digit gains, Democrats must win the known battlegrounds. These are the districts that always were going to be competitive, and where presidential year turnout usually gives Democrats an advantage. At the very least, Democrats need to win the districts that President Barack Obama carried — places like Illinois’ 10th District, Nevada’s 4th and 3rd Districts, Maine’s 2nd District, Florida’s 26th District, (which is now even more Democratic), Iowa’s 1st District and New York’s 19th District. If they’re not able to win these seats, Democratic gains in the House will likely be very minimal.  

Obama Blasts Issa, Heck Campaigning for Down-Ballot Democrats
Democrats shifting from presidential race to control of Congress

Vice President Joe Biden will campaign in a key Senate race this week. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

President Barack Obama continued a Democratic full-court press on down-ballot Republicans, campaigning and cutting ads in key Senate and House races.

Holding a solid lead over Republican Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton has also turned her attention to those races, too. She will likely give some aid to North Carolina Senate challenger Deborah Ross when she campaigns in Winston-Salem with Michelle Obama on Thursday.

No, Democrats Aren't Abandoning Illinois' 10th District
Shift of $800,000 allows closer coordination between Schneider and DCCC

The DCCC is moving money from its IE side to its coordinated side in Illinois' 10th District. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee recently cancelled about $800,000 in television reservations for Illinois' competitive 10th District race, where former Rep. Brad Schneider is looking to reclaim his seat from Republican Rep. Robert J. Dold.

That's not because Democrats suddenly think they've got the race locked up. The contest remains a tossup. The DCCC is simply moving the money from its independent expenditure side (which cannot coordinate with campaigns) to the coordinated side. 

DCCC Internal Poll Shows Schneider Beating Dold in Tossup House Race
Schneider raised more money recently, but Dold has more cash on hand

Former congressman Schneider is leading incumbent Dold, according to an internal poll. (Douglas Graham/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Democrats are touting former Rep. Brad Schneider's polling numbers and money advantages compared to incumbent Rep. Robert J. Dold, R-Ill., as their general election rematch for Illinois's 10th District begins in earnest following last month's primary.  

An internal poll released to Roll Call from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee showed Schneider beating Dold by nine points with a margin of error of 4.3 percent, with Schneider at 42 percent and Dold at 33 percent. The poll was conducted through phone interviews with 526 likely general election voters via a live or automated survey.  

House Majority PAC Scales Up TV Ad Buys for Fall
The Democratic group is purchasing time early in competitive districts

House Majority PAC has reserved airtime in the Washington media market, which covers Virginia's 10th District, where Democrat LuAnn Bennett, above, is challenging GOP Rep. Barbara Comstock. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

The House Majority PAC, an outside group that supports Democrats running for the House, announced on Thursday five additional television reservations for the final weeks of the campaign, bringing its total reservations to more than $12.2 million so far.  

"We will keep making wise investments that maximize the impact of our dollars and maximize the opportunities Democrats have to win in 2016,” House Majority PAC Executive Director Ali Lapp said in a statement.