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Is Beto O’Rourke the Next Jon Ossoff?
Democrats can’t seem to help falling for white, Southern men in unlikely races

Democrat Beto O’Rourke historic fundraising numbers set off alarm bells in the GOP that the Texas Senate race was not one to be ignored, Murphy writes. Above, O’Rourke arrives for a rally in Lockhart, Texas, on Oct. 1. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

OPINION — There have been so many glowing profiles of Beto O’Rourke, the Democratic Senate hopeful in Texas, that there is a running joke  among journalists about the ingredients for a perfect O’Rourke piece. The short version goes something like this: He looks like a Kennedy! He’s got tons of cash! He’s a Democrat in a Red State! Let’s do this thing!

The one detail that’s almost always missing in those profiles is reality — namely, the fact that O’Rourke could run a perfect race against Sen. Ted Cruz and will still probably lose based solely on the fact that far more Republicans are likely to vote in Texas this November than Democrats. Although twice as many Texans (about 1 million) voted in the Democratic primary this year compared to 2014, 1.5 million votes were cast in the Republican primary. Even as the state’s demographics are changing, the math for Texas Democrats still doesn’t look good.

Could Republicans in Competitive Districts Pursue NRCC Top Job?
NRCC head has usually been someone who can travel, fundraise for others

California Rep. Mimi Walters may be interested in chairing the NRCC if the position is open. First, she has to win re-election in November. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

With many Republicans conceding their poor prospects of holding the House next month, attention outside the conference is beginning to turn to who will helm its campaign committee for the next cycle. 

Ohio Rep. Steve Stivers, who’s running for a fifth term in a safe Republican seat, is the current chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee. It’s not uncommon for there to be turnover at the end of a cycle, and it’s largely understood Stivers is unlikely to remain in charge should the GOP lose its majority.

FEC Questions Rep. Hunter’s Campaign for Not Listing Donor Occupations
Campaign will have to show two attempted requests for donor job information

Rep. Duncan Hunter, R-Calif., arrives for the House Republican Conference meeting on Wednesday, Sept. 26, 2018. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Rep. Duncan Hunter’s campaign finances are under the Federal Election Commission microscope again — this time for failing to list the occupations of at least 16 donors last filing quarter, the San Diego Union-Tribune reported.

In a letter to the California Republican’s campaign treasurer this week, the FEC notified Hunter’s campaign that “information requested per best efforts” is not an adequate occupation or employer title for each of the individual contributors.

Republicans Need a Cold Compress With Less Than One Month to Go
Presidential pain still plagues vulnerable incumbents ahead of the midterms

President Donald Trump may turn out Democrats better than any Democrat could. (Sarah Silbiger/CQ Roll Call file photo)

ANALYSIS — Weather metaphors are often used (and overused) in election analysis, but there’s a better way to describe the Republicans’ challenge in 2018. The GOP is dealing with many headaches as it tries to preserve the Republican congressional majorities.

From tension to cluster to migraine, they can vary in frequency and severity. And Republicans’ ability to alleviate them will determine control of the House and Senate in the 116th Congress.

Kavanaugh Nomination Clears Key Hurdle, Final Vote Teed Up
Democrats turned confirmation process into ‘demolition derby,’ Sen. Grassley says

Supreme court nominee Brett Kavanaugh is sworn in to testify before the Senate Judiciary Committee on Capitol Hill in Washington on Sept. 27. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, Pool)

Embattled federal judge Brett Kavanaugh moved one step closer to becoming the ninth Supreme Court justice and providing a decisive fifth conservative vote Friday when the Senate voted to tee up a final up-or-down vote.

In a vote that broke mostly along party lines after several deeply partisan weeks that culminated with a FBI investigation into sexual misconduct charges against Kavanaugh dating to his high school days, the chamber voted to end debate on his nomination, 51-49.

Trump to Senators: Ignore ‘Elevator Screamers’
President issues closing argument ahead of crucial vote on Brett Kavanaugh

Sens. Jeff Flake and Chris Coons head out of a Senate Judiciary Committee hearing last Friday to discuss an FBI probe of sexual misconduct allegations against Brett Kavanaugh after Flake had been confronted by protesters on an elevator. (Sarah Silbiger/CQ Roll Call)

As a crucial Senate vote on his controversial Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh neared, President Donald Trump appeared to lobby undecided senators by casting two women who confronted Sen. Jeff Flake last week as Democratic-funded “Troublemakers.”

Trump dubbed the women “very rude elevator screamers” and “paid professionals only looking to make Senators look bad,” referring to wealthy liberal donor George Soros. The president appeared to plead with GOP senators to not “fall for it!” He ended his tweet with “#Troublemakers.”

Trump Says Democrats’ Opposition to Kavanaugh Fueled by ‘Rage’
President’s narrow loss in Minnesota in 2016 gives GOP leaders hope for miderms

President Donald Trump was in Minnesota for fundraisers and a campaign rally Thursday. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Senate Democrats’ opposition to Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh is fueled by “rage,” President Donald Trump said Thursday night at another raucous campaign rally, this time in Minnesota.

Trump again criticized Democrats for their handling of sexual assault allegations against his high court nominee less than 24 hours before a planned procedural vote that is expected to tee up a make-or-break Saturday confirmation vote.

Trump Is Giving Pyrrhic Victors a Run For Their Money
He’s angling for a Kavanaugh bump. But Democrats and sexual assault survivors will remember this for many elections to come

Former California Republican Gov. Pete Wilson won the battle but lost the war when he courted white conservatives in 1994. Now Trump is headed the same way, Shapiro writes. (Photo by CQ Roll Call)

OPINION — History is littered with Republican and White House insiders who naively believed that they possessed the hypnotic powers needed to protect Donald Trump from his worst guttersnipe instincts.

In the summer of 2016, Paul Manafort tried to convince the unruly Trump to use teleprompters and speech texts at campaign rallies. Now, of course, Manafort is a long-term guest of the federal government, and Trump is even more out of control than ever at rallies.

Outside Money Fuels Court Fight Amid Calls for Kyl Not to Vote
Kavanaugh denounced money spent against him, but lots is being spent on his behalf

From left, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, Vice President Mike Pence, and then-former Sen. Jon Kyl, R-Ariz., who was Kavanaugh's sherpa at the time, meet in McConnell's office in the Capitol on July 10, 2018, the day after President Donald Trump nominated Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call/POOL)

Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh denounced the “millions of dollars in money from outside left-wing opposition groups” during his testimony Thursday about sexual assault allegations, but he didn’t mention the millions spent by groups backing him.

The Judicial Crisis Network, the leading conservative nonprofit that is running advertisements in support of Kavanaugh’s confirmation, has spent about $12 million on the effort, according to sources familiar with the group — already more than the $10 million it spent in last year’s confirmation of Justice Neil Gorsuch.

Amy McGrath Announces $3.65 Million Quarterly Haul in Kentucky
Democrat is challenging GOP Rep. Andy Barr in Toss-up race

KentuckyDemocrat Amy McGrath is challenging GOP Rep. Andy Barr in the 6th District. (Sarah Silbiger/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Democrat Amy McGrath announced Monday that her campaign raised $3.65 million in the third quarter for her bid against GOP Rep. Andy Barr in Kentucky’s 6th District. 

The $3.65 million haul came from more than 32,000 donations, according to the campaign, which said it has raised $6.65 million since it began in August last year. McGrath finished the third quarter, which ended on Sept. 30, with $1.7 million in the bank.