Dana Rohrabacher

Prepare to Be Disappointed on Election Night
Close races, voting schemes and mail-in ballots could all complicate calling control of Congress on Nov. 6

The race for Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith’s Mississippi seat lists among the complicating factors that might impede calling control of the Senate on Nov. 6, Gonzales writes. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

After two years of campaigning in the latest most consequential election of our lifetimes, election night could be a huge letdown. The disappointment is not about which party prevails Nov. 6, but the reality that a combination of close races and West Coast contests could prevent enough races from being called to determine majorities in Congress until days later.

In the Senate, more than 10 races could finish within single digits, and a handful of those contests look like they’re neck and neck. The close margins could make it difficult for media outlets to project a winner on election night. Since Republicans have just a two-seat majority, every Senate race matters, so anything left uncalled could make it difficult to figure out who will control the chamber next year.

The 10 Most Vulnerable House Members in 2018 List Remains All-Republican
Iowa Rep. Rod Blum is once again in the top spot

Rep. Rod Blum, R-Iowa, remains at the top of the list of vulnerable House members. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

With Election Day two months away, all 10 of the most vulnerable House members are Republicans, with one new addition.

Rep. Carlos Curbelo of Florida has been replaced on the list by Kansas Rep. Kevin Yoder, who even some Republicans acknowledge is in a more tenuous position given his district, voting record and Democratic challenger.

5 States That Will Decide the House Majority
Watch these states to tell if Democrats are having a good election night

California Democrat Harley Rouda, here with a supporter at a rally in Laguna Beach in May, is challenging GOP Rep. Dana Rohrabacher in the 48th District. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

With a growing number of vulnerable House districts, there might be too much to watch for on election night. But by focusing on just a handful of states, you can get a pretty good idea of whether Democrats are having a good enough night to gain the 23 seats necessary to win back the majority.

Competitive races: 5

Rep. Rohrabacher Will Donate Manafort’s Campaign Contribution to Local Charity
California GOP rep received $1,000 from Manafort in 2013, when he was working for Russia-sympathetic Ukrainian president

Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, R-Calif., will divert a $1,000 campaign contribution from convicted former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Rep. Dana Rohrabacher pledged last November to purge his campaign coffers of the $1,000 donation Paul Manafort made to his re-election campaign in the 2014 cycle if the 2016 Trump campaign chairman was found guilty of federal charges.

The California Republican will follow through on that promise, a campaign spokesman told Roll Call, after an Eastern Virginia jury handed down guilty verdicts Tuesday on eight counts charging Manafort with tax evasion from 2010 to 2014 and bank loan fraud in March 2016.

Report: Former Rohrabacher Opponent Target of Cyberattack
California Democrat Hans Keirstead’s campaign was the target of a phishing attack

Democrat Hans Keirstead was the target of a successful cyberattack. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Former Democratic House candidate Hans Keirstead was the target of a successful cyberattack during his campaign in California’s 48th District against pro-Russia GOP Rep. Dana Rohrabacher

Rolling Stone reported that in August 2017, Keirstead fell for a phishing email that asked him to enter his password for his work email address, which he also used for his campaign. The campaign also reported efforts in December to hack into the campaign’s website and “hosting service,” and an effort in January to hack into the campaign’s Twitter account. Only the phishing attack in August was successful.

How Lee Zeldin Dodged Sacha Baron Cohen
Baron Cohen’s ‘Who is America?’ show has duped a number of U.S. politicians

New York Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin’s staff smelled something fishy when he was contacted about an interview with a purported Israeli TV outlet. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Rep. Lee Zeldin can thank his staff for preventing him from being the latest victim of British comedian Sacha Baron Cohen.

The New York Republican’s office received a call from someone claiming to be from an Israeli television station requesting an interview with him, the New York Post reported.

Tennessee Republicans Spar Over Trump Loyalty in Race to Replace Black
Winner of Aug. 2 GOP primary in 6th District likely heading to Congress

The two leading Republican candidates in Tennessee’s open 6th District are each arguing they’d be the strongest defender of President Donald Trump. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call file photo)

The script is predictable by now. 

A Republican primary in an open seat that’s assured to stay red in November? The candidates are going to talk about how much they love President Donald Trump and how much their opponents don’t.

As Rohrabacher Defends Trump and Russia, Re-Election Bid Looks Murky
California Republican narrowly trails Democratic challenger in new poll

Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, R-Calif., faces a tough re-election bid against Democratic challenger Harley Rouda in the 48th District. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

For California Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, the 2018 election might be his toughest bid yet.

The longtime Republican congressman narrowly trailed Democratic challenger Harley Rouda in a Monmouth University poll of registered voters in California’s 48th District released Tuesday.

At the Races: Take Me Home, Country Roads
Our weekly newsletter on congressional campaigns

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Welcome to At the Races! You can keep track of House and Senate races with this weekly newsletter by subscribing here. We want to hear what you think. Email us at attheraces@cqrollcall.com with your questions, tips or candidate sightings. —Simone Pathé and Bridget Bowman

Rouda to Face Rohrabacher After Keirstead Concedes
Two California Democrats were divided by only 126 votes at last count for right to face GOP incumbent

Democrats Harley Rouda, right, and Hans Keirstead participate in the DEMOC PAC’s candidate forum in Irvine, California last month. Rouda edged out Keirstead to face GOP Rep. Dana Rohrabacher in November. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Democrat Harley Rouda will face California Rep. Dana Rohrabacher in November after a long primary ballot count.

Rouda, a real estate developer, edged out his Democratic opponent Hans Keirstead, who conceded the second-place finish in the June 5 primary on Sunday after a weeks-long ballot count.