tossup

Young Kim Launches First TV Ad in California’s 39th District
Kim is the first Republican in the crowded race to go on the airwaves

Former California Republican Assemblywoman Young Kim is running for the open 39th District seat. (Thomas McKinless/CQ Roll Call file photo).

Congressional hopeful Young Kim is the first Republican to go on the airwaves in the crowded race for California’s 39th District, launching a television ad Thursday. 

The spot, shared first with Roll Call, highlights the former assemblywoman’s ties to the man she is hoping to replace — retiring GOP Rep. Ed Royce. Kim worked for the congressman for two decades 

Planned Parenthood, Other Groups To Spend $30 Million on Midterms
Progressive coalition to target young and minority voters in Florida, Michigan, and Nevada

Liberal groups are hoping to turn out enough voters in (Photo By Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

A coalition of liberal organizations that includes the political arm of Planned Parenthood rolled out a $30 million program Monday to mobilize “infrequent voters” to cast ballots for progressive candidates in the  midterm elections.

Infrequent voters include people of color, women and young people, the coalition says in a joint news release.

Rosen’s First Major Digital Ad Buy Targets Latino Voters
Nevada Democrat is challenging Republican incumbent Dean Heller

The new digital ad by Rep. Jacky Rosen, D-Nev., says she “didn’t back down” in her fight to protect “Dreamers.” (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Nevada Rep. Jacky Rosen’s Senate campaign announced its first major digital buy Friday, launching ads in both English and Spanish aimed at Latino voters. The freshman Democrat is challenging Republican incumbent Dean Heller in a race that could be one of her party’s best pickup opportunities in the Senate.

The digital ads, shared first with Roll Call, focus on Rosen’s background and her support for so-called Dreamers, young immigrants brought to the country illegally as children. The ads include a 30-second video and a shorter 15-second version, in both languages.

Tariffs Could Complicate Key Senate Races
Some Democrats already criticizing GOP opponents over tariffs’ impact

A John Deere tractor sits in a field near Salem, Ind. (Al Drago/CQ Roll Call file photo)

The potential for a trade war with China is already complicating some key Senate races ahead of the November midterms, especially for Republicans hoping to expand their majority.

President Donald Trump’s announcement that he would impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports sparked retaliatory threats from China. The country vowed to slap tariffs on top U.S. exports that also come from states with some of the most competitive Senate contests.

Rating Change: Florida Senate Race Shifts to Toss-Up
Florida Gov. Rick Scott formally announces challenge to Sen. Bill Nelson

Now that Gov. Rick Scott has officially announced his Senate campaign, Florida is poised to host a costly race with national implications, Gonzales writes. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Florida Gov. Rick Scott’s plans have been talked about for so long that it would have been shocking if he hadn’t announced his challenge to Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson on Monday. And now that the Republican governor is officially in, the Sunshine State is poised to host an expensive race with national implications.

Of course, Democrats are confident about Nelson’s re-election chances. But this will be a race unlike any other the senator has faced. Scott, who is personally wealthy, could not only invest tens of millions of dollars of his own money into the campaign, but also utilize national fundraising contacts as a former chairman of the Republican Governors Association.

Hawley Dings McCaskill Over Gorsuch Vote in New Web Ad
Missouri GOP Senate hopeful says incumbent puts party ahead of state

A vote against Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch’s confirmation last year is becoming an issue in the Missouri Senate race. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley is launching a new digital ad Friday, foreshadowing one of his arguments in his campaign for Senate against Democratic incumbent Claire McCaskill: her vote against Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch last year. 

Only three Senate Democrats voted to confirm Gorsuch, who was nominated by President Donald Trump to fill the seat left open after Justice Antonin Scalia died. In a new ad, Hawley’s campaign accuses McCaskill of putting the Democratic Party base ahead of Missouri voters by her vote against Gorsuch. 

McCaskill to Hillary Clinton: Be ‘More Careful’ Talking About Trump Voters
Missouri Democrat faces uphill battle for re-election in state Trump won

Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill criticized Hillary Clinton for recent comments about voters in Middle America. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Sen. Claire McCaskill had choice words for Hillary Clinton over comments the former secretary of State made in India last month about people who voted for President Donald Trump in 2016.

Clinton should “show respect to every American voter,” regardless of how they voted in the presidential election, the Missouri Democrat said.

Crowded Fields Remain in California Ahead of June Primary
Candidates have also chosen how to define themselves on the ballot

Crowded primary fields remain in California, leading the DCCC to contemplate openly playing in primaries. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

With the filing deadline behind them, congressional candidates in California are gearing up for contested primaries — and providing early indications of how they plan to define themselves on the ballot.

Democrats continue to have an issue with crowded fields in key pickup opportunities in the Golden State, and they’re still attempting to narrow some of the fields ahead of the June 5 primary.

Insiders See Democratic House Gains of 30-45 seats
Polling, election results, fundraising tend to point in one direction

President Donald Trump continues to define the landscape for this year’s midterms, which insiders predict will be favorable to Democrats in the House. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call file photo)

Seven and a half months before the midterm elections, the combination of attitudinal and behavioral evidence leads to a single conclusion: The Democrats are very likely to win control of the House in November.

Just as important, Republican and Democratic campaign strategists also agree that an electoral wave has already formed. The attitudinal evidence begins with national polling.

Capitol Ink | Trump Country Mile