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Democrats Might 'Roll the Dice’ Hoping Trump or Cruz is on Ballot

Democrats think a Trump or Cruz nomination could help them turn Kentucky Rep. Andy Barr's seat blue again. But time is running out. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Democrats are optimistic that a Donald Trump or Texas Sen. Ted Cruz nomination will expand the map in their favor. But because of how long the GOP nominating contest could take, and how early some congressional filing deadlines are, Democrats may need to take a leap of faith on candidates before they know whether the GOP nominee will put certain states in play.  

"I’m telling potential candidates, 'There’s a chance that our party is going to win the lottery. ... It might be worth rolling the dice because it turns out the Democratic nominee in some of these states that are not competitive right now may be worth a lot,'" one Democratic consultant said.  

Florida: John Mica Beats Sandy Adams

(Scott J. Ferrell/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Rep. John Mica, chairman of the powerful Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, beat tea-party-affiliated freshman Rep. Sandy Adams by a comfortable margin in today’s GOP primary for Florida's 7th district, situated north of Orlando.

With 78 percent of precincts reporting, Mica had 61 percent of the vote, to Adams’ 39 percent.

Florida: John Mica Maintains Big Cash Advantage Over Sandy Adams

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

In the nasty Member-vs.-Member GOP primary north of Orlando, 10-term Rep. John Mica maintained a sizable cash-on-hand lead over freshman Rep. Sandy Adams.

According to Federal Election Commission reports filed on Thursday, Mica ended July 25 with $960,000 to Adams' $453,000. In the pre-primary filing period from July 1-25, Mica raised more than twice as much as Adams, but spent $431,000. Adams spent only $78,000 during that period. The majority of Mica's expenditures were for media advertising.

Florida: Allen West Backs Sandy Adams

Rep. Allen West backed a fellow freshman lawmaker in a GOP primary against another Member. (Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Firebrand Rep. Allen West today endorsed fellow GOP Rep. Sandy Adams in her Member-vs.-Member primary race against Rep. John Mica in Florida's newly configured 7th district.

It's an important endorsement for Adams from a fellow freshman Member. West, a fundraising juggernaut popular in conservative circles, might give Adams a boost in her race.

Florida: Mike Huckabee Endorses John Mica

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) today endorsed Rep. John Mica (R) in his race against Rep. Sandy Adams (R) in Florida's newly configured 7th district.

"John Mica is a proven leader who doesn’t just talk; he achieves sound conservative results," Huckabee said in a statement. "If conservatives want a man of action and a man we can count on, I urge my fellow Floridians in Central Florida to join me in supporting John Mica."

Florida: Sandy Adams Gets Sarah Palin Nod

Sarah Palin made her first House endorsement of 2012 today in a Member versus Member race. (Roberto Gonzalez/Getty Images)

Sarah Palin today endorsed Florida Republican Rep. Sandy Adams in her Member-vs.-Member GOP primary brawl with 10-term Rep. John Mica. It is the former vice presidential candidate's first House endorsement this cycle.

Adams, a freshman, has strong tea party support in the Sunshine State's 7th district, a seat north of Orlando where both Members are running as a result of redistricting. Mica, the chairman of the powerful House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, has locked up a solid chunk of establishment backing.

Florida: John Mica Poll Shows Him Up Big Against Sandy Adams

(Scott J. Ferrell/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

A new poll of likely GOP primary voters commissioned by Rep. John Mica showed him leading fellow Republican Rep. Sandy Adams by more than 30 points in Florida's newly configured 7th district.

In a horserace matchup between the two Members, Mica led 55 percent to 25 percent for Adams.

Florida: Poll Shows Mica With Surmountable Lead vs. Adams

(Scott J. Ferrell/CQ Roll Call File Photo)

Ten-term Rep. John Mica (R) led freshman Rep. Sandy Adams (R) in a new poll of Republican primary voters in Florida's reconfigured 7th district in which both Members are running for re-election.

Mica led Adams 46 percent to 30 percent in a horse-race matchup , but Mica's lead appears surmountable with the proper messaging, according to a polling memo obtained by Roll Call.

Morning Roundup: Member-Vs.-Member Races

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)

The front page of today's Roll Call features Shira Toeplitz's report from the ground in Cleveland and Toledo, Ohio, on the Democratic primary between Reps. Marcy Kaptur and Dennis Kucinich. Their March 6 contest will be the first of 12 Member-vs.-Member races decided this redistricting cycle.

The numbers in the redrawn 9th district, which stretches 120 miles along Lake Erie’s shoreline, favor Kaptur over Kucinich because it takes in more of her current territory. But, as Toeplitz points out, long odds have never stopped the two-time failed presidential candidate and one-time "boy mayor" of Cleveland from running before.

Florida: Mica Takes On Adams in Member-Vs.-Member Race

(Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call)

Rep. John Mica officially announced his bid for re-election in Florida's proposed 7th district today, confirming a race versus fellow Republican Rep. Sandy Adams.

The House Transportation and Infrastructure chairman's likely move was reported earlier this week. Adams, a freshman, announced Jan. 30 that she would run in the 7th.