Policymakers across the political spectrum agree that the new health insurance plans mandated under the Affordable Care Act need a lot of young, healthy people to sign up to cover the costs of older, less healthy people.
Sen. Barbara A. Mikulski, D-Md., warned last month that the health plans could face a “death spiral” if an insufficient number of young people sign up. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, characterized the ACA as a massive transfer of wealth from young, healthy people to older Americans. Sen. Angus King, I-Maine, said opponents are “guilty of murder” for attempting to dissuade young people from signing up.
The more I read about the ACA, the more I’m convinced that many of the people making health care policy don’t know the difference between insurance and an all-you-can-eat buffet. The “insurance” devised by the ACA is not really insurance. This is unfortunate, because the only way the health insurance market can possibly provide affordable insurance for everyone is if policymakers start treating health insurance like genuine insurance instead of a cornucopia of freebies.
Genuine insurance classifies people based on their risk. People facing similar risks pay similar premiums. That’s why teenagers usually have higher auto insurance premiums than more experienced drivers, and younger folks usually pay less for life insurance.
That’s not how insurance regulation under the ACA works. To pay for people who have big expenses, the low-cost, healthy people must buy policies with coverage they may not want and higher rates for the coverage they do want. It’s like forcing everyone to buy Groupons for an all-you-can-eat restaurant every night, even if some of us would rather save our hard-earned money and munch on celery sticks at home. You can eat celery at home if you want, but you still have to pay for the buffet.
For example, the ACA regulations on rate-setting for individual insurance policies limit the differentials health insurers can charge for age, and they require insurers to assume all policyholders are in the same risk pool, regardless of actual health. The analysis accompanying these regulations concedes they could create “potentially higher rates for some young men,” but the Department of Health and Human Services declined to estimate the size of these rate increases. Similarly, no cost estimates accompany the regulation that enumerates the mandated “essential health benefits” new plans must include.
Imagine what pundits would say if policymakers applied similar principles to auto insurance: “We need more little old ladies who only drive to church on Sunday to sign up to cover the costs of the teenagers with multiple DUIs.” Or life insurance: “We need more young healthy people to buy life insurance so they cover the costs of the older folks who are just about to die and collect big payouts.” Or fire insurance: “We need more nonsmokers to sign up so there’s enough money to pay for arsonist claims.”
If an auto, life or fire insurance company tried to charge everyone premiums that did not reflect behavior or risk, it would quickly lose money. And if those insurers used the government to strong-arm low-risk people into buying insurance policies that overcharge them, few people would regard that as fair.
Vice President Joe Biden waits to conduct a mock swearing-in ceremony with Sen. Brian Schatz, D-Hawaii, in the Capitol's Old Senate Chamber, December 2, 2014. Schatz was sworn in to serve the remainder of his term since he was appointed to the seat after Sen. Daniel Inouye, D-Hawaii, passed away.