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Those two words encompass the panic in GOP establishment circles following the criticism conservative activist groups leveled at Republican Rep. Shelley Moore Capito after she announced her plans to challenge Democratic Sen. Jay Rockefeller of West Virginia in 2014.
Negative reactions to Capito’s candidacy by the Club for Growth and Senate Conservatives Fund, founded by Sen. Jim DeMint, created anxiety that consumed GOP insiders all last week. Moore Capito is viewed inside and outside West Virginia as the Republican best positioned to oust Rockefeller, or to win an open seat if he retires. But the party establishment is still smarting from blowing easy races in 2010 and 2012, and many worry that the same could happen two years from now.
“We’ve been down this road,” a Republican K Street source said. “Republicans have lost several Senate seats that we should have won because of inferior candidates.”
The response to Capito’s candidacy has dredged up this internecine conflict less than a month after the elections. Some GOP operatives were still digesting the 2012 results — including losing Senate races in Indiana and Missouri with weak or flawed general election nominees.
Many Washington-based Republican insiders say the hands-off 2012 primary strategy of National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman John Cornyn of Texas was an over-correction from 2010, when the committee tried unsuccessfully to pick candidates, and they say the party must get back into the business of exerting its influence.
But when pressed on just how the NRSC and GOP Senate leaders should go about this, few specific recommendations were offered.
“The onus is first on the candidate, not the party,” one Washington-based Republican strategist said about GOP primaries, adding that the days of the national party “controlling the levers are over.”
Conservative activist groups counter that had they not challenged the establishment, rising national stars such as Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and Sen.-elect Ted Cruz of Texas would never have emerged. Cruz has been tapped as NRSC vice chairman for grass-roots outreach alongside incoming Chairman Jerry Moran of Kansas. The Texan is expected to help the NRSC identify prospective candidates and work with state and local GOP leaders to determine whom they might prefer.
Barney Keller, a spokesman for the Club for Growth, said the point of his group’s criticism of Capito was to discourage the party from nominating “liberal Republicans” such as Rep. Denny Rehberg and former Rep. Heather A. Wilson, who lost Senate races in Montana and New Mexico respectively, in November.
Election Day also was a bad day for moderate and establishment-backed Republican Senate candidates, not just those favored by the tea party.